WEBVTT

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- [Host] Please welcome to the stage.

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AFA's President, Lieutenant
General Orville Wright.

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(dramatic music)

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- Well good morning.

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That's not a great way
to start the morning,

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I don't know what is.

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God bless our Airmen.

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Well this morning we have the
opportunity to welcome back

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to the stage a real rock
star of our Air Force.

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I'd like to encourage everyone here today,

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also please stop by your AFA booth

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to support our Airmen and families.

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And if you're not a member

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this is a good opportunity to do that

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Join up and join the fight.

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Membership is half off
during this symposium

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and please we could use your help

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and we could certainly
use your leadership.

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Without further ado please welcome

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to the stage Dr. Will Roper.

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Since Dr. Roper wasn't here yesterday

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because he had to testify before congress,

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he may not be aware of gift
for speakers this year.

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But believe me the crazy
socks deal starting last fall

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and leading, and going on
today is all Dr. Roper's idea.

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So thank you sir for being here

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and thanks for your leadership.

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(crowd applauds)

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(dramatic music)

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- Good morning.

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I'll tell you, my caffeine
is just staring to kick in.

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So hopefully, hopefully
the enthusiasm that I have

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for what's being
accomplished in the Air Force

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and Space Force will rev me
up and hopefully rev you up.

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It is amazing to see
what is happening out in

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the field in the Air Force
to start making our system,

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that goes from requirements,
to things that we build,

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to things that we field and operate.

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To make that faster and more competitive.

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Given that we have competitors
like China and Russia,

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that are fundamentally going to change

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the speed and quality at
which our system moves.

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That is the mission for today.

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Is to leave you with the
sense of the excitement

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of what is possible.

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But with the urgency for
why we have to continue the

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progress towards building a better system

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with better quality war fighting.

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That is competitive in today's
technology environment.

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I think I'll just say, if I
don't hit the point that this

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entire strategy, the entire
theory of trying to be the

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disrupter is based on having
tremendous quality of people.

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People who are trained,
who understand technology.

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Who understand engineering.

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War fighters who are tech savvy.

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Who realize that we're
gonna have to change the way

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that we bring capabilities to the field.

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And that the old systems
gonna have to update.

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If we didn't have that talent in the

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department of the Air Force

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and the Air Force and Space Force.

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Then everything else I'm
about to say is untrue.

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The fact that the talent is here,

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means that the core principle is

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fundamentally unleashing it.

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And seeing if we can
do innovation at scale.

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Innovation everywhere.

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I put the adversaries at first.

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Because that's why we have to do it.

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So China and Russia are going
to challenge our system.

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They are innovating everywhere,

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not just in the military space.

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Domestically, commercially.

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And there's no telling where

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the next breakthrough's gonna be.

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I show a picture here of
the AI advantage they have.

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Collecting facial recognition information

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across their population.

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Who knows what advantage
that's gonna give.

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Too early to tell.

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But we can't sit by idly and
hope it's going to be okay.

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I had a picture of a DJI Phantom up there.

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Right, commercial hobbyist drones,

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remember when that was the coolest

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Christmas gift everyone wanted.

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What's happened?

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Supply chain has moved
nearly entirely to China.

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And now we have to react
to the security challenges

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that places on us.

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I have to sign off on
those drones being used

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in activities and exercises
nearly every week.

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We have been disrupted.

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So the process we have that thinks

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about the future threat, long and hard.

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Takes a long time to build
whatever the solution is,

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and that fields it usually too late.

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Is not going to deal with that

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potential for disruptive
change everywhere.

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So the only solution is to
consider innovation itself

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as the new battlefield.

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Like the great philosopher
Mike Tyson said,

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everybody has a plan until
they get punched in the mouth.

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What's your plan today?

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What are you responsible for the future

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of the Air Force and Space Force?

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But whatever your plan is,

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it's gonna get punched in the mouth.

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Are you ready for that?

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Are your ready to take a five year plan,

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have it be disrupted in the
middle and respond more agilely,

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more adeptly than your opponent.

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It's kind of like the Wayne
Gretzky idea of skating ahead

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of the puck, except there's so many pucks

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that we won't do this centralized.

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We've got to empower you.

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To bring in agile methodologies

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that can deal with
disruption and power through.

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So whatever our process
has been, it's dead.

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And you are now the process.

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And so from my view, when I
have to try and think about

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how do we get Airmen ready to take

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this idea into acquisition,

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which if we don't get that right,

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we may be able to win today and we are.

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But we won't be able long into the future.

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How do we bring that idea of continually

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competing into our programs?

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Well I always like to use
hashtags in these talks.

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Things I hope will trend and go viral

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in the department of the Air Force.

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First and foremost we have to
be a competitive Air Force.

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Competitive is the thing missing in our

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requirements acquisition
operations system.

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We have been so dominant as a department.

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So dominant.

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That we really haven't had to
bring the adversaries into the

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day to day thinking of
how to beat opponents.

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We've been able to bring
systems so magical, so dominant

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that we could literally call
the enemy and say we're coming

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and there's nothing they can do about it.

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And that's not gonna be
the case in the future.

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And if we bet on that future
being the one that we hope for.

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If we bet on that future we could easily

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get punched in the mouth.

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So we have to bring this idea
of speeding up acquisition.

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Bringing in better
quality ideas everywhere.

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And this word cloud is just to
meant to show that the things

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that are trending right now
are everywhere in our programs.

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So amazing things happening.

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So in house the jolly roger
two the secretary did.

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That program pulled off an amazing feat.

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Getting to milestone C, beating the odds.

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Old school get it done engineering

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that we need across the board.

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It's not just for helicopters
and our airplanes.

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T7A is pushing the boundaries
of digital engineering.

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Figuring out how do we build e-planes.

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How do we use digital twins
to fundamentally shift

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how fast we can build,
assemble, and upgrade airplanes

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so we're not a static target.

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And in space our sat-com
programs are bringing in

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competitive prototyping.

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So that we can expand the industry base.

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Give greater opportunity to industry.

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And our next generation
overhead persistent

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infrared missile warning.

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It's kinda like the Rocky
of the department right.

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It's gotta be the satellite
that's gotta be able to

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take a punch, keep defending.

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And very much in Rocky style
it's taken a lot of criticism.

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And it's still on cost,
it's still on schedule.

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A new tempo for building
large complicated satellites.

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Things are amazing at our
programs, in terms of speeding up,

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bending metal faster, using
prototyping as the preferred

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method to retire risk.

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Cause to be honest with you, I
don't believe paper, I don't.

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I believe real world data.

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And we set a goal over two years ago.

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No, two years ago almost to the date,

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to try to remove a hundred
years out of our portfolio.

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We're not gonna win
against China and Russia

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if we're not better at time to market.

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We don't use that term in government.

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It's kind of an industry term

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but that's the right way
to think about competing.

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Time to market.

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Whatever you're building or
whatever you're gonna be using.

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Or whatever you're responsible

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for creating the requirement for.

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If your adversaries can
do that faster than you,

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statistically we're
probably going to lose.

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We have to be able to field things faster.

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Do things faster.

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So time to market matters.

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Well we've gone past
that hundred year goal.

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We're at 125 on our way
to a goal 150 this summer.

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Just setting, setting the tempo as the

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thing we care most about in programs.

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Time matters most.

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It's not to say we don't care
about money and saving costs.

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All noble work that we will do.

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But you can lose a race
with money in your pocket.

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Whoever crosses the goal line
first gets to set the terms.

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So speed is gonna be our focus.

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That's how we do things.

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But how we do things isn't enough either.

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So we can be very fast in the

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wrong kinds of programs and still lose.

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Not have a competitive system.

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What we do and who we do it
with matter equally as much.

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And so I'm really excited
that the Air Force

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has been able to take on this
idea of competition at scale.

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That means we can now do different things.

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We've opened up the aperture.

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We've delegated authority to
the lowest possible level.

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I've delegated every authority

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I'm legally allowed to delegate.

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And if congress would
give me more latitude

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I'd delegate more.

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That is how much I trust the field.

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We have to get decision down to

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the lowest common denominator.

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Own the acquisition OODA loop.

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Be faster at going from a
requirement to a system.

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And we have to do more than that too.

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I'm gonna hit this thing third,

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but I'm gonna put a little teaser out.

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So I've talked a bit about going from

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requirements to systems.

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But what about opportunities?

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So I mean think about
all of the amazing things

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happening in commercial technology.

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How many opportunities are there?

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What is our system do about them?

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Just kinda stands by.

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Just like we did with the
hobbyist drones right.

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We stood by and we let the
supply chain move overseas.

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We have to change our system
to deal with opportunities.

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Requirements into programs is not enough.

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We have to have opportunities
that create inspirements.

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Things that, war fighters say,

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I didn't even know I
needed that, but I do.

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Cause I'm inspired to think
about my mission differently.

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That burden is on us.

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We will have to understand more than

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just defense technology.

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So what we do is the next focus.

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Who we do it with, the last focus.

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But Air Force in terms
of how we do it, A plus.

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The first what we do that is
going to be super challenging

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but also super exciting,
is trying to create

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a connected department of the Air Force.

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I think we all know that we
like to make Power Point slides

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in the Pentagon, with a lot of
systems with lightening bolts

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between them that are supposed
to indicate connecting and

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sharing data and none of it's real.

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But we've been making them so long

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that I think we almost pretend it's true.

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And I'll tell you this, in a
fight against China and Russia,

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we are not gonna be able to radio and chat

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our way through the fight.

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Not in a machine to machine world.

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So the problem we have with
building a connected Air Force

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is we're currently a department
of satellites and airplanes,

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but we're in airplane mode.

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Almost nothing connects to anything else.

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Let's see a show of hands.

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Who with their phone today,
can access meaningful personal

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information, financial
information, bank information,

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anything of that nature.

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Who can access that
kind of information now?

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Show of hands.

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Yeah, me too.

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Who can change a setting
like to their house.

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Control something that's
more physical in nature.

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Crank their car.

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So now you're touching the physical world.

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Any people like that?

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Lot a show of hands.

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You came into this conference
room touching the world.

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Data, analytics, from companies
like Google and Amazon

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are continuing to improve the way you

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interact with those systems.

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You're getting better
even just by sitting here.

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So how could we possibly imagine
winning if our war fighters

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come in from lives where they are

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connected to almost everything.

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And come into a military where

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they're connected to almost nothing.

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And the things they're
connected are human to human,

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not machine to machine.

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That is a losing strategy.

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But Air Force and Space Force
we have struggled with this.

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The internet has happened and
we have not happened with it.

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Cause our process isn't
good at stuff like this.

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Now what I want to do in this section

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is get past the lightning bolts.

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I want to arm you to go back
to your jobs and explain,

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no kidding how is the Air Force
and Space Force really going

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to do this in a way that people
will say, that's credible.

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Well the first thing, before
you jump into the connection,

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the joint all domain command and control.

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The first thing you gotta say
is you don't get to do any of

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that, any of it, unless
you're good at software.

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And we have been on the software journey

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and this is a plus, plus, plus.

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We have so many of these
software factories.

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Organizations that are doing
things at commercial speed

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that we can't put them on one slide.

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I'm counting over 50.

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They all have cool sci-fi names.

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Kesselrun, Kobayashi Maru,

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you know Platform One,
Space Camp, Ski Camp.

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I mean that just popped up,
they're doing amazing work

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out in Utah.

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Software is supor cool
right now in the department.

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And we have to keep it that way.

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Because that's the technology

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that's gonna change the fastest.

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If we can't move at
digital speeds we've lost.

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Maybe not today, but we've lost.

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You have to be good at this first.

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You can't just jump to the end and say,

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I wanna do artificial intelligence.

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That's great, I've heard
that talking point,

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I've been in those meetings.

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I've been in them so many
times I get angry at it.

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It's like saying you wanna
understand the odyssey

14:57.040 --> 14:59.470
but not actually learning Greek.

14:59.470 --> 15:02.576
Like C.S. Lewis said, you've
gotta put in the due diligence

15:02.576 --> 15:04.020
at being good at software.

15:04.020 --> 15:05.930
But even that's not enough.

15:05.930 --> 15:10.930
Despite how good, and how
fast, and agile we become,

15:11.330 --> 15:14.730
the world of software has
changed even during the time

15:14.730 --> 15:16.430
that I've been in this job.

15:16.430 --> 15:18.710
So early in starting Kessel Run,

15:18.710 --> 15:22.330
and it's now a 700 person organization.

15:22.330 --> 15:24.450
It's the world wide weapon system.

15:24.450 --> 15:27.600
Moving code to air operation
centers twice a day.

15:27.600 --> 15:31.000
With all of that tech
company type support.

15:31.000 --> 15:34.063
Like forward support, help desk,

15:34.063 --> 15:37.840
edge capabilities as well as global.

15:37.840 --> 15:41.490
It's amazing that that
has happened so quickly.

15:41.490 --> 15:43.390
But the technology of software's changed

15:43.390 --> 15:44.815
even in the last two years.

15:44.815 --> 15:46.146
There's a big movement,

15:46.146 --> 15:47.960
called containerization or Kubernetes,

15:47.960 --> 15:50.827
that's being driven by Google
and others, it's opensource.

15:50.827 --> 15:53.280
And it solves one of the
most amazing problems

15:53.280 --> 15:57.390
that we need to build that
connected joint force.

15:57.390 --> 15:59.600
The problem it solves is it allows

15:59.600 --> 16:03.210
code to be run everywhere the same way.

16:03.210 --> 16:05.910
Mirrors the runtime bit for bit.

16:05.910 --> 16:08.060
And so that's a technical way of saying

16:08.060 --> 16:10.770
if it runs on your laptop
it'll run on your jet.

16:10.770 --> 16:11.980
It'll run on your satellite.

16:11.980 --> 16:14.400
It'll run on whatever you have.

16:14.400 --> 16:16.860
Now you could understand
why Google and companies

16:16.860 --> 16:18.770
that are driving the
internet of things would want

16:18.770 --> 16:20.320
that kind of technology.

16:20.320 --> 16:23.480
I wanna develop and I wanna
be able to push containers

16:23.480 --> 16:27.370
back and forth to the
internet of things at the edge

16:27.370 --> 16:29.690
and know that nothing's gonna crash.

16:29.690 --> 16:32.630
And as the things at the edge
become more safety critical

16:32.630 --> 16:36.180
like with self driving
vehicles coming into play.

16:36.180 --> 16:39.997
Safety of those software
pushes is more imperative.

16:39.997 --> 16:42.633
And so commercial world's
solving this for us.

16:42.633 --> 16:46.720
That has changed, that has
changed just in the last year.

16:46.720 --> 16:49.470
It is going viral faster than Linux.

16:49.470 --> 16:52.010
And so it's one of our
first litmus tests'.

16:52.010 --> 16:55.740
Can we, after we've created all
of these agile organizations

16:55.740 --> 16:59.580
have them agilely move to
a breakthrough technology.

16:59.580 --> 17:01.340
They're doing great.

17:01.340 --> 17:05.900
We had enterprise cloud going
across these companies in the

17:05.900 --> 17:07.890
Air Force and Space Force.

17:07.890 --> 17:10.910
All of them are shifting to
Kubernetes space development.

17:10.910 --> 17:14.330
And one of our teams, Space
Camp and Level Up actually

17:14.330 --> 17:16.610
ran Kubernetes on a jet the first time.

17:16.610 --> 17:20.040
They went directly from
a laptop to the jet,

17:20.040 --> 17:21.770
no steps in between.

17:21.770 --> 17:23.930
No test, no regression.

17:23.930 --> 17:27.120
Now that's cool from an
acquisition stand point,

17:27.120 --> 17:29.840
but if you're a war fighter
operator that means that if you

17:29.840 --> 17:31.780
just went into the fight
and there's a threat

17:31.780 --> 17:35.058
that you didn't anticipate,
you can change it.

17:35.058 --> 17:37.410
It does not have to go
back through the system.

17:37.410 --> 17:41.740
You can change and get back
into the fight and the OODA loop

17:41.740 --> 17:43.830
So hopefully that convinces you

17:43.830 --> 17:46.010
that you gotta have the software skill.

17:46.010 --> 17:50.550
But if you have a bunch of
disparate software camps,

17:50.550 --> 17:53.500
you're not gonna be able to
do what companies like Google

17:53.500 --> 17:55.810
were able to achieve when they moved their

17:55.810 --> 17:58.030
software development into a cloud.

17:58.030 --> 18:00.540
Not well known, but the
reason cloud actually came up,

18:00.540 --> 18:03.410
was you couldn't update
software fast enough.

18:03.410 --> 18:07.570
In the search engine wars,
it just became too difficult

18:07.570 --> 18:10.970
to have people coding at the
edge, trying to create what was

18:10.970 --> 18:13.250
really a centralized product.

18:13.250 --> 18:15.380
So Google and other
companies had this idea,

18:15.380 --> 18:17.920
let's push all the computers
and data to the center,

18:17.920 --> 18:21.140
that'll speed up our process,
it'll make us more economical.

18:21.140 --> 18:24.300
We'll be sharing systems
across different users

18:24.300 --> 18:25.800
based on their need.

18:25.800 --> 18:28.040
And it sped up the system.

18:28.040 --> 18:31.050
So cloud was the next evolution

18:31.050 --> 18:33.250
beyond being good at software.

18:33.250 --> 18:37.430
Be good at software,
then put it in a cloud.

18:37.430 --> 18:40.590
Well it makes sense if you
had a lot of cloud technology,

18:40.590 --> 18:42.320
you'd want to connect things to it.

18:42.320 --> 18:44.470
Cause cloud is really
great at managing data,

18:44.470 --> 18:48.010
so wouldn't be great if my
systems, people that are coding

18:48.010 --> 18:50.560
on that cloud, things that
use the data on that cloud,

18:50.560 --> 18:53.790
wouldn't it be great if they
were all connected to it.

18:53.790 --> 18:56.844
If you did that you when would
then want to do smart things

18:56.844 --> 18:58.597
with your data like make
it available to services

18:58.597 --> 19:02.960
that live in that cloud,
like artificial intelligence.

19:02.960 --> 19:05.532
The reason that the
department has struggled,

19:05.532 --> 19:08.262
is that we started at the end of the story

19:08.262 --> 19:10.507
and didn't really put in
the work at the beginning.

19:10.507 --> 19:12.760
You can't skip those first four chapters.

19:12.760 --> 19:15.730
The amazing work that has
happened last year and this year,

19:15.730 --> 19:19.160
is we're putting in steps
one, two, three and four.

19:19.160 --> 19:21.940
So that we can actually get
to that machine to machine

19:21.940 --> 19:23.640
war fighting advantage at the end.

19:24.854 --> 19:27.136
And it's pretty awesome
that today the first

19:27.136 --> 19:29.740
enterprise war fighting
AI comes online at our

19:29.740 --> 19:31.890
distributed common ground station.

19:31.890 --> 19:35.800
So AI tools, now available across DCGS.

19:35.800 --> 19:39.530
So that we can do things
machine, at the machine speed

19:39.530 --> 19:41.640
that we used to do at human speeds.

19:41.640 --> 19:43.520
But this example needs to be something

19:43.520 --> 19:45.530
that starts happening every day.

19:45.530 --> 19:49.210
With new AI capabilities
going across our mission.

19:49.210 --> 19:54.210
So that's the skill set that
we need to build something

19:54.320 --> 19:56.180
that can connect the joint force.

19:56.180 --> 19:59.873
That can create a military
internet of things.

20:01.060 --> 20:03.930
So given that, this advanced
battle management system,

20:03.930 --> 20:06.160
and I have acronyms as much anybody,

20:06.160 --> 20:08.640
so I wanna try to get past the acronyms.

20:08.640 --> 20:12.410
ABMS is simply an internet
of military things.

20:12.410 --> 20:14.680
We have a lot of things,
you're aware of these.

20:14.680 --> 20:16.510
You operate these, you build these,

20:16.510 --> 20:19.080
you wrote the requirements for these.

20:19.080 --> 20:23.100
They are required, built,
and operated in a vacuum,

20:23.100 --> 20:25.040
if you're thinking at
an architecture level.

20:25.040 --> 20:27.630
I know we go to war jointly.

20:27.630 --> 20:30.140
But we don't engineer this stuff jointly.

20:30.140 --> 20:31.893
It's engineered in a vacuum.

20:33.020 --> 20:36.180
So the sensors and the
effects that they create,

20:36.180 --> 20:38.550
the first step is simply connect them.

20:38.550 --> 20:41.350
But don't connect them the way
that we've done in the past.

20:41.350 --> 20:43.770
Connect them in a way
that's software defined.

20:43.770 --> 20:46.610
Software defined radios that
can move between wave forms.

20:46.610 --> 20:49.590
Because our adversaries are
gonna try to take them away.

20:49.590 --> 20:52.180
And even if we're in benign conditions

20:52.180 --> 20:53.970
you can still lose calm.

20:53.970 --> 20:56.590
Everyone's had that moment
where their cellphone

20:56.590 --> 20:58.720
has dropped comm and you moved to either

20:58.720 --> 21:01.280
a different carrier or you move to 3G.

21:01.280 --> 21:04.530
Seamlessly, you didn't have
to tell your phone to do that.

21:04.530 --> 21:06.900
We need that in our
fighters and satellites

21:06.900 --> 21:07.733
and everything else.

21:07.733 --> 21:11.010
Ships, soldiers, everything
needs that agility so

21:11.010 --> 21:12.833
that we don't lose connectivity.

21:14.190 --> 21:16.370
Because we're putting in cloud.

21:16.370 --> 21:17.790
So we have enterprise cloud.

21:17.790 --> 21:19.170
It's called cloud one, with an

21:19.170 --> 21:21.960
enterprise development
platform called platform one.

21:21.960 --> 21:24.430
That allow us to do
amazing things with data,

21:24.430 --> 21:27.560
because we have an enterprise
data management capability

21:27.560 --> 21:28.570
called data one.

21:28.570 --> 21:31.470
We are starting to put in
enterprise capabilities

21:31.470 --> 21:33.990
that mirror the internet of things

21:33.990 --> 21:36.160
and the capabilities they give.

21:36.160 --> 21:39.160
Well once you've got
global and local cloud,

21:39.160 --> 21:40.720
just like the internet today.

21:40.720 --> 21:44.330
Now you can do the end of the story.

21:44.330 --> 21:47.072
You can put data and AI and analytics

21:47.072 --> 21:51.020
and start moving human
speed to machine speed.

21:51.020 --> 21:53.260
And it doesn't have to take forever.

21:53.260 --> 21:55.410
All of these funny sounding capabilities

21:55.410 --> 21:57.560
with the name One at the end of them.

21:57.560 --> 21:59.520
They're all real,
they're all working today

21:59.520 --> 22:03.430
in a radically different way
than any previous program.

22:03.430 --> 22:06.150
We put the name One at the
end because if we didn't

22:06.150 --> 22:08.210
they'd be really hard to remember.

22:08.210 --> 22:10.840
And also it uploads the right thinking.

22:10.840 --> 22:15.840
We want the joint force
to operate as one system.

22:15.930 --> 22:17.850
Not one tightly engineered system,

22:17.850 --> 22:19.840
where one thing's telling
something else what to do.

22:19.840 --> 22:23.568
But where just like your
phone, data is coming to it

22:23.568 --> 22:26.763
that analytics in the
cloud deem would be useful.

22:28.150 --> 22:30.680
Now the way we're doing
it is just as impressive

22:30.680 --> 22:32.520
as the thing we're trying to attempt.

22:32.520 --> 22:34.770
Which is very rapid four month cycles.

22:34.770 --> 22:37.020
Cause to be frank, if we
told you we're gonna go off

22:37.020 --> 22:39.170
and put together a five
year plan and come back with

22:39.170 --> 22:41.410
something that works,
you'd automatically know

22:41.410 --> 22:42.630
we're gonna fail.

22:42.630 --> 22:47.000
The best advice we've gotten
from internet gurus is push

22:47.000 --> 22:49.810
this capability out in thin slices

22:49.810 --> 22:53.332
that stack towards meaningful capability.

22:53.332 --> 22:55.990
And so early on, we
just started the program

22:55.990 --> 22:58.720
but we've already gone out
in December and done an

22:58.720 --> 23:01.260
amazing exercise sponsored
by General O'shaughnessy,

23:01.260 --> 23:03.420
a homeland defense exercise.

23:03.420 --> 23:06.290
Where we're doing a surrogate
cruise missile take down

23:06.290 --> 23:09.670
and nothing there is something
that you'd want to probably

23:09.670 --> 23:12.830
be your instate, but all
meaningful capability is

23:12.830 --> 23:14.480
demonstrated for the first time.

23:14.480 --> 23:17.347
First time we've connected
a F-22 to a F-35.

23:17.347 --> 23:20.620
Is it the instate that we want
two or three years from now?

23:20.620 --> 23:24.300
No, but it's a foundational
layer we can build upon

23:24.300 --> 23:27.050
and we've checked the
box for it's been done.

23:27.050 --> 23:28.320
Now build on it.

23:28.320 --> 23:30.790
Thin slices deployed rapidly.

23:30.790 --> 23:33.320
But one of the things
I'm most excited about

23:33.320 --> 23:35.800
from that exercise, which
doesn't get the same press

23:35.800 --> 23:38.770
as the F-22 and the F-35 connected by a

23:38.770 --> 23:42.340
Skyborg Valkyrie drone, is this picture.

23:42.340 --> 23:46.670
So we virtualized command and
control and put it in a cloud.

23:46.670 --> 23:49.750
So something that would normally
sit in a command center.

23:49.750 --> 23:52.140
A vulnerable brick and mortar building.

23:52.140 --> 23:54.797
Was in a cloud that could
be accessed by anyone

23:54.797 --> 23:58.290
with the right credentials
and user privileges.

23:58.290 --> 24:00.720
And we demonstrated we could push that.

24:00.720 --> 24:03.720
Outside of the brick and mortar building

24:03.720 --> 24:06.390
into the hands of special operators

24:06.390 --> 24:07.883
out in the field on a tablet.

24:09.070 --> 24:12.880
Now just imagine in future
that that tablet that those

24:12.880 --> 24:15.410
operators are holding or
those soldiers are using,

24:15.410 --> 24:17.400
or whatever device it is.

24:17.400 --> 24:21.550
Just imagine it's like the app
Waze or whatever app you like

24:21.550 --> 24:24.280
You're driving along Waze
isn't telling you how to drive,

24:24.280 --> 24:27.040
you can take whatever turns you want.

24:27.040 --> 24:30.980
But Waze knows your user
profile, it knows what you like,

24:30.980 --> 24:32.520
it knows your preferences.

24:32.520 --> 24:36.260
And it's taking a world of
data that it has access to,

24:36.260 --> 24:39.240
and simply pushing data to
you that it thinks may be

24:39.240 --> 24:43.340
relevant for your mission,
because it has a profile of it.

24:43.340 --> 24:45.170
And then it allows you
to interact with it.

24:45.170 --> 24:48.140
As you interact with the
information that it pushes

24:48.140 --> 24:51.223
it gets better at pushing you new data.

24:52.180 --> 24:53.100
That's how it works.

24:53.100 --> 24:54.670
It's as simple as that.

24:54.670 --> 24:56.800
And I'm so afraid we will lose

24:56.800 --> 24:59.060
the message and narrative on this.

24:59.060 --> 25:02.630
And the acronyms and jargon
and complexity of the build,

25:02.630 --> 25:07.450
it's a very simple idea
that we all live everyday.

25:07.450 --> 25:10.990
You brought a world of
connectivity that allows you to

25:10.990 --> 25:13.700
live better lives, more empowered lives.

25:13.700 --> 25:16.950
Because it's giving you
data that's useful for you.

25:16.950 --> 25:19.870
With a sense of who you
are and what you like.

25:19.870 --> 25:23.230
Just translate that from likes to mission

25:23.230 --> 25:25.550
and you've got what advanced
battle management system

25:25.550 --> 25:26.640
has to be.

25:26.640 --> 25:29.490
This is gonna challenge
everything about our system.

25:29.490 --> 25:31.900
Requirements, acquisition and operations.

25:31.900 --> 25:35.730
Four month spirals are going to be brutal

25:35.730 --> 25:37.843
on the way we do business today.

25:37.843 --> 25:39.920
But I'll tell you what,
if we can learn to operate

25:39.920 --> 25:41.966
at those speeds, that sounds like us

25:41.966 --> 25:43.930
starting to throw a punch in the mouth

25:43.930 --> 25:45.970
in the way our adversaries anticipate

25:45.970 --> 25:47.860
who we're going to be in future.

25:47.860 --> 25:52.430
So juries out on this but
what I'm happy about is that

25:52.430 --> 25:55.170
we're starting the right way
with the right enthusiasm

25:55.170 --> 25:56.490
and right talent.

25:56.490 --> 25:58.523
So more to follow at future events.

25:59.810 --> 26:02.553
So that's what we're doing.

26:03.430 --> 26:06.557
We also have to change who we do it with.

26:06.557 --> 26:08.610
And this trend, this is commercial.

26:08.610 --> 26:11.470
We have to be a better
department of the Air Force

26:11.470 --> 26:15.467
at working with commercial tech
and commercial tech trends.

26:15.467 --> 26:19.495
I think this is often viewed
as innovation by the department

26:19.495 --> 26:21.310
this is imperative.

26:21.310 --> 26:23.460
This is the thing I worry the most about.

26:23.460 --> 26:26.603
And it's because we have
significant challenges here.

26:27.900 --> 26:31.460
Just this pie chart should scare us.

26:31.460 --> 26:35.550
Like 80% of our nations
research and development

26:35.550 --> 26:38.770
is not defense, it's commercial.

26:38.770 --> 26:42.150
In the cold war we were
once the majority of it.

26:42.150 --> 26:45.850
So we are increasingly
thinner slice of the tech pie.

26:45.850 --> 26:48.860
That does not mean that
we're getting worse.

26:48.860 --> 26:52.240
It just means that there's
more technology available today

26:52.240 --> 26:53.380
than there ever has been right.

26:53.380 --> 26:55.970
Back in the cold war
there wasn't the internet

26:55.970 --> 26:58.520
and so two people in a
laptop couldn't go create

26:58.520 --> 27:00.950
new technology and major companies

27:00.950 --> 27:02.190
of the future like Facebook.

27:02.190 --> 27:04.340
But now people can do that.

27:04.340 --> 27:06.100
There's more technology.

27:06.100 --> 27:08.800
But the process that
we have is very good at

27:08.800 --> 27:11.410
working inside the defense ecosystem.

27:11.410 --> 27:13.070
And the way we work with companies

27:13.070 --> 27:14.850
continues to shrink our industrial base.

27:14.850 --> 27:16.500
Every year mergers and acquisitions

27:16.500 --> 27:19.000
shrink the number of
companies that we work with.

27:19.000 --> 27:20.560
The small businesses that are working in

27:20.560 --> 27:23.000
research and development
get bought up by the primes.

27:23.000 --> 27:25.560
The primes have to merge and
acquire because our programs

27:25.560 --> 27:27.390
are too few and far between.

27:27.390 --> 27:30.150
It puts so much pressure on our system

27:30.150 --> 27:33.380
that only very large companies
with broad portfolios

27:33.380 --> 27:35.940
can make it decade to decade.

27:35.940 --> 27:38.650
Because the programs are decade to decade.

27:38.650 --> 27:41.270
Decade moves and this chess game is simply

27:41.270 --> 27:44.190
not gonna cut it in today's world of tech.

27:44.190 --> 27:47.210
But because of that, because
the moves are decade to decade

27:47.210 --> 27:49.810
and we're working only
inside the defense ecosystem,

27:49.810 --> 27:51.490
startups don't even come see us.

27:51.490 --> 27:54.130
In fact in many cases
they're devalued if they have

27:54.130 --> 27:56.670
a contract with defense.

27:56.670 --> 27:58.380
I can't say a more damning statement.

27:58.380 --> 28:00.870
The fact that you have money from us

28:00.870 --> 28:03.820
lowers your evaluation,
says we are losing.

28:03.820 --> 28:06.730
Remember China does not have that problem.

28:06.730 --> 28:09.910
They have a nationalized industrial base.

28:09.910 --> 28:13.350
Defense, commercial, it's all hybrid.

28:13.350 --> 28:15.920
All available to their military.

28:15.920 --> 28:18.840
So we're starting behind
the starting blocks.

28:18.840 --> 28:21.150
We're starting at a disadvantage,

28:21.150 --> 28:22.840
that we're gonna have to think proactively

28:22.840 --> 28:26.000
about how to negate.

28:26.000 --> 28:29.250
And so the last thing I want
to point out before going into

28:29.250 --> 28:31.870
how we negate that, that disadvantage.

28:31.870 --> 28:33.500
Is just simply the tech trends,

28:33.500 --> 28:36.180
they can either be positive
or negative for us.

28:36.180 --> 28:37.290
But the tech trends right now

28:37.290 --> 28:39.340
and how we're engaging them are negative.

28:39.340 --> 28:41.020
The technologies that
are likely to have the

28:41.020 --> 28:44.510
biggest impact on national
security are commercial.

28:44.510 --> 28:47.670
Though AI, synthetic biology, medical,

28:47.670 --> 28:48.530
things like this could have

28:48.530 --> 28:50.450
major challenges to national security.

28:50.450 --> 28:52.743
We're watching the coronavirus currently.

28:52.743 --> 28:55.270
Things like that are kinda outside

28:55.270 --> 28:58.060
the way we work with our industrial base.

28:58.060 --> 29:02.060
So if we engage technology
trends the way we do today,

29:02.060 --> 29:04.257
with decade programs.

29:04.257 --> 29:06.600
Programs that happen on a decade cadence.

29:06.600 --> 29:08.210
We're not likely to get the benefit.

29:08.210 --> 29:10.500
It's gonna be a wind coming into our sails

29:10.500 --> 29:12.782
instead of one that's filling it.

29:12.782 --> 29:17.080
And so over the last year,
18 months, we've been trying

29:17.080 --> 29:20.520
a bunch of grass roots initiatives
that are all focused on

29:20.520 --> 29:22.800
trying to grow the industry base.

29:22.800 --> 29:25.650
So right now the forces
that we place on industry

29:25.650 --> 29:26.944
are collapsing it.

29:26.944 --> 29:30.170
So it's sort of a big crunch
all coming into one thing.

29:30.170 --> 29:31.410
We want to create a big bang.

29:31.410 --> 29:33.370
We want more companies coming in.

29:33.370 --> 29:34.900
So organizations like Afwerx

29:34.900 --> 29:37.550
that having been doing
accelerators and our

29:37.550 --> 29:39.580
small business innovative research program

29:39.580 --> 29:42.410
working on open topics
and ways to open the door

29:42.410 --> 29:44.210
and make it friendlier for tech startups

29:44.210 --> 29:46.290
have had a major impact.

29:46.290 --> 29:48.300
And I'll share with you at
the end why I'm so excited

29:48.300 --> 29:51.520
about this and wanting to pull
it together into one thing,

29:51.520 --> 29:54.900
one easy to understand
thing, called AF Ventures.

29:54.900 --> 29:57.940
So there were so many events
I can't put them on here,

29:57.940 --> 30:01.720
but I'll just show that of
the pitch days that we started

30:01.720 --> 30:05.830
last March, there have
already been 15 in 2019

30:05.830 --> 30:10.010
that brought 360 million
into small business.

30:10.010 --> 30:13.130
That's awesome, but the
things that's even awesomer,

30:13.130 --> 30:14.810
not a word but I mean it,

30:14.810 --> 30:19.070
is that 733 of those
companies are new to us.

30:19.070 --> 30:21.030
They wouldn't have come to us.

30:21.030 --> 30:24.840
They're working on something
that could change the world,

30:24.840 --> 30:27.520
but were not thinking
about defense applications.

30:27.520 --> 30:30.410
Now they're into our orbit.

30:30.410 --> 30:32.280
But not in a orbit that's gonna turn

30:32.280 --> 30:34.670
them into a future defense prime.

30:34.670 --> 30:37.160
Because we saw private
investment matching.

30:37.160 --> 30:40.470
That means when we put
these companies on contract,

30:40.470 --> 30:42.520
private investors on average

30:42.520 --> 30:44.370
matched our dollars three to one.

30:44.370 --> 30:47.900
As opposed to less than
one to one in the past.

30:47.900 --> 30:50.000
So we grew our money here.

30:50.000 --> 30:55.000
We took 300 million and
turned into over a billion.

30:55.180 --> 30:58.540
Think if we did this at scale and routine.

30:58.540 --> 31:02.340
Think if private investors,
the venture capitalists

31:02.340 --> 31:04.620
like Andreessen Horowitz and Venrock,

31:04.620 --> 31:08.300
thought of working with the
Air Force or Space Force

31:08.300 --> 31:12.826
as a market delineator for
becoming a commercial success.

31:12.826 --> 31:15.490
The best companies, the best innovators

31:15.490 --> 31:17.800
would come see us first.

31:17.800 --> 31:21.600
And the thing I'm happy to
report is that they are.

31:21.600 --> 31:24.480
With China engaging the
way they have on Hong Kong,

31:24.480 --> 31:26.230
even in the last year.

31:26.230 --> 31:29.080
I have seen a change in
Silicon Valley and elsewhere,

31:29.080 --> 31:32.670
in terms of how people view the
department of the Air Force.

31:32.670 --> 31:35.720
Chinese money is viewed differently
than it was in the past.

31:35.720 --> 31:38.800
The images that are online
are changing the way

31:38.800 --> 31:40.590
that the Chinese
Communist party is viewed.

31:40.590 --> 31:43.310
And there's a window of
opportunity to fill the gap.

31:43.310 --> 31:45.710
And thankfully we are.

31:45.710 --> 31:49.390
There's a chance to go really big on this.

31:49.390 --> 31:51.550
If you're kinda wanting
to take one rule of thumb,

31:51.550 --> 31:53.230
you're looking for the big companies

31:53.230 --> 31:55.400
that grow up and become household names.

31:55.400 --> 31:56.740
They're often called unicorns.

31:56.740 --> 31:58.160
They go from an idea and all of a sudden

31:58.160 --> 32:00.700
they're a billion dollar
company in a year.

32:00.700 --> 32:03.600
We've had two, maybe
three of those in defense.

32:03.600 --> 32:06.030
Meaning companies started
to work with defense.

32:06.030 --> 32:08.993
So SpaceX, Palantir, and Anduril.

32:09.850 --> 32:12.270
Now that's the saddest thing I can say.

32:12.270 --> 32:15.030
Is that we've had only those three.

32:15.030 --> 32:16.740
So thankful for them.

32:16.740 --> 32:19.460
But we have to routinely create companies

32:19.460 --> 32:20.807
that change the world.

32:20.807 --> 32:23.020
And if we can keep AF Ventures

32:23.020 --> 32:25.690
with the same kind of
credibility it has today,

32:25.690 --> 32:28.250
as a good housekeeping seal of approval.

32:28.250 --> 32:30.020
The way it's viewed by private investors.

32:30.020 --> 32:32.040
I expect that we'll see that three to one

32:32.040 --> 32:34.380
matching number continue to go up.

32:34.380 --> 32:35.740
That we'll multiply the money

32:35.740 --> 32:38.490
that we put into commercial companies.

32:38.490 --> 32:41.218
And that we'll start seeing
a new industry base grow,

32:41.218 --> 32:43.980
that's a different
slice of that pie chart.

32:43.980 --> 32:48.320
So rather than just be
commercial only, or defense only,

32:48.320 --> 32:51.180
there'll be another slice that's dual use.

32:51.180 --> 32:53.740
Companies that want to
come work with defense,

32:53.740 --> 32:56.450
so they get an advantage
in commercializing.

32:56.450 --> 32:58.690
And ultimately become big household names.

32:58.690 --> 33:01.840
Wouldn't it be wonderful if
the tech giants of the future

33:01.840 --> 33:05.050
all said I got my start working on

33:05.050 --> 33:07.550
a department of the Air Force contract.

33:07.550 --> 33:09.470
That's how we win on the
innovation battlefield.

33:09.470 --> 33:12.590
That's how we take it
into commercial tech.

33:12.590 --> 33:14.520
We can't just be a purchaser.

33:14.520 --> 33:15.820
We've got to be a partner.

33:17.488 --> 33:20.050
So, let's talk about tech trends.

33:20.050 --> 33:24.190
So I've mentioned that DGI
drone, and that really bothers me

33:24.190 --> 33:26.330
so we saw the drone industry,

33:26.330 --> 33:28.660
the hobbyist drone industry pop up.

33:28.660 --> 33:30.580
The Pentagon stood by idle

33:30.580 --> 33:32.300
and the supply chain moved overseas.

33:32.300 --> 33:34.240
And now it's a security risk for us.

33:34.240 --> 33:36.550
So we were disrupted, we
were punched in the mouth,

33:36.550 --> 33:37.383
shame on us.

33:37.383 --> 33:40.610
If we had put our demand out,
our demand on the market,

33:40.610 --> 33:42.920
that we are willing to pay
a higher price for drones

33:42.920 --> 33:43.920
that are trusted.

33:43.920 --> 33:45.520
We might have stopped the entire

33:45.520 --> 33:47.320
supply chain from leaving the country.

33:47.320 --> 33:50.780
The military could have
stabilized a domestic market,

33:50.780 --> 33:52.630
that would have lowered our security risk.

33:52.630 --> 33:54.430
Well hobbyist drones are one thing,

33:54.430 --> 33:57.290
there are many technologies
that should scare us to death,

33:57.290 --> 33:59.000
if they do the same trend.

33:59.000 --> 34:02.320
Any thing that is smart
automation goes in that bucket.

34:02.320 --> 34:05.210
But one that we're starting
with as a first initiative

34:05.210 --> 34:08.740
to influence a tech trend and
not allow those random forces

34:08.740 --> 34:11.680
to threaten our security is Agility Prime.

34:11.680 --> 34:14.520
Agility Prime is our flying
car program, just kicked off.

34:14.520 --> 34:16.460
So flying cars, they're ready.

34:16.460 --> 34:19.180
And I'm just telling you out
of just personal cool factor,

34:19.180 --> 34:20.810
I just think we ought to be part of this.

34:20.810 --> 34:24.100
But they are ready to do
amazing military missions.

34:24.100 --> 34:25.990
But what's their challenge?

34:25.990 --> 34:27.490
All the companies working them

34:27.490 --> 34:29.170
are working domestic ambitions.

34:29.170 --> 34:30.980
They're not thinking about us.

34:30.980 --> 34:33.070
They're having challenges
getting certification

34:33.070 --> 34:35.340
because who's gonna sign off
that these things are safe,

34:35.340 --> 34:36.820
or air worthy.

34:36.820 --> 34:38.600
And so we're sitting back watching it,

34:38.600 --> 34:41.930
but think about what we
represent as a department.

34:41.930 --> 34:46.020
We have test ranges that are
the envy of the private sector.

34:46.020 --> 34:49.160
We have a certification
process that is so trusted

34:49.160 --> 34:51.250
that when we fly jets over stadiums

34:51.250 --> 34:53.220
no one worries about them.

34:53.220 --> 34:57.160
We have a value proposition
that is greater than our money.

34:57.160 --> 35:00.290
And so what we've done is
we've reached out and said,

35:00.290 --> 35:01.990
the Air Force is
interested in flying cars,

35:01.990 --> 35:04.640
we want to explore missions
like logistics, and rescue,

35:04.640 --> 35:07.890
and disaster relief, we think
we can do them differently,

35:07.890 --> 35:10.780
when we get out of the two
dimensions that we're often

35:10.780 --> 35:12.860
locked in, into three.

35:12.860 --> 35:16.150
That have greater flexibility
and lower sustainment.

35:16.150 --> 35:20.120
The response by private
investment has been tremendous.

35:20.120 --> 35:23.150
We're running a program
that has billions of dollars

35:23.150 --> 35:25.659
of R and D backing from
the private sector,

35:25.659 --> 35:28.290
by spending almost no government money.

35:28.290 --> 35:31.490
We are putting our
ranges, our certification,

35:31.490 --> 35:33.630
and the potential for a bill of sale

35:33.630 --> 35:36.270
that is so coveted by
commercial companies.

35:36.270 --> 35:38.620
Be that early product market fit.

35:38.620 --> 35:40.920
And it is moving the market.

35:40.920 --> 35:44.810
If we succeed on this, then
this has become a habit.

35:44.810 --> 35:46.630
In this department, we have to have people

35:46.630 --> 35:48.090
that are tech scouts.

35:48.090 --> 35:49.810
Looking for trends we can influence.

35:49.810 --> 35:52.440
Because if innovation
is the new battlefield,

35:52.440 --> 35:55.070
you've gotta look for
opportunities as much as risk.

35:55.070 --> 35:59.400
What are the things we can bring
into support of our mission

35:59.400 --> 36:01.920
The thing I worry is, this is
a big mission to give anyone.

36:01.920 --> 36:04.200
It's bigger than what
we've been trained to do.

36:04.200 --> 36:05.430
We can't just look at threats.

36:05.430 --> 36:06.850
We can't just look at intelligence.

36:06.850 --> 36:09.720
We can't just turn that into
performance specifications

36:09.720 --> 36:12.330
and then go out and take 10
years to build something.

36:12.330 --> 36:15.360
We're gonna have to
constantly rethink our plans.

36:15.360 --> 36:18.730
Rethink our processes and
never be content with the pace

36:18.730 --> 36:20.240
that we build things.

36:20.240 --> 36:21.530
But I'll tell you this.

36:21.530 --> 36:23.970
If you don't get to see these
things out in the field,

36:23.970 --> 36:27.540
I know many of us are trapped
in jobs where the fire drills

36:27.540 --> 36:30.500
of everyday take us away from innovation.

36:30.500 --> 36:32.350
The leadership in this department

36:32.350 --> 36:34.790
is convincing the field and top cover.

36:34.790 --> 36:38.470
I see more risk taking, more
outside the box thinking,

36:38.470 --> 36:41.700
more creativity, than I have seen in any

36:41.700 --> 36:43.780
organization of this size.

36:43.780 --> 36:48.240
We are well on our way to being
the innovator in government.

36:48.240 --> 36:50.490
We're starting to get that brand.

36:50.490 --> 36:53.380
Major tech companies that I
probably can't say publicly

36:53.380 --> 36:56.320
have reached out saying,
okay you're credible.

36:56.320 --> 36:59.010
Let's figure out how we
partner in the longterm.

36:59.010 --> 37:03.383
If we keep this up our future
is exceptionally bright.

37:04.670 --> 37:06.786
So we have some things that we have to do.

37:06.786 --> 37:08.050
We have to connect the joint force.

37:08.050 --> 37:08.990
It's going to be a challenge.

37:08.990 --> 37:10.060
We've got to work at

37:10.060 --> 37:12.380
internet speeds with internet technology.

37:12.380 --> 37:13.920
Off to a great start.

37:13.920 --> 37:17.050
Every AFA there should be an
update of the amazing things

37:17.050 --> 37:19.860
we did on ABMS JADC2.

37:19.860 --> 37:22.450
And if we don't have
them we're probably not

37:22.450 --> 37:23.850
trending in the right way.

37:23.850 --> 37:25.440
We ought to have reports on how we're

37:25.440 --> 37:28.320
working better with commercial
companies, bringing more in.

37:28.320 --> 37:31.560
Creating the big bang
of the industry base.

37:31.560 --> 37:35.270
More companies, more
opportunities, more partnerships.

37:35.270 --> 37:38.160
More potential to influence tech trends

37:38.160 --> 37:42.100
in a way that don't just give
us capability, that's awesome.

37:42.100 --> 37:44.900
If we commercialize that
flying car industry,

37:44.900 --> 37:47.050
faster because we're working with it.

37:47.050 --> 37:49.480
Than that's helping
stabilize it in this nation,

37:49.480 --> 37:52.550
so that our industry base
is competitive long term.

37:52.550 --> 37:55.010
Not just our defense industry base.

37:55.010 --> 37:57.100
The takeaway, if we're gonna innovate,

37:57.100 --> 37:58.530
win on the innovation battlefield,

37:58.530 --> 38:00.040
everything's gonna have to change.

38:00.040 --> 38:01.050
But that's great.

38:01.050 --> 38:03.750
That means we can start with
the process that' a clean sheet

38:03.750 --> 38:04.950
We've got to look everywhere

38:04.950 --> 38:07.100
that we see opportunity and risk.

38:07.100 --> 38:10.180
Empower people to come up
with options to mitigate them.

38:10.180 --> 38:13.710
And from a leadership
level, get out of their way.

38:13.710 --> 38:16.830
And just what I've seen
since the last AFA talk,

38:16.830 --> 38:20.260
just the things that are
growing out in the field,

38:20.260 --> 38:22.880
tell me that we are trending
in the right direction.

38:22.880 --> 38:27.310
And as long as we don't pull
foot off the accelerator,

38:27.310 --> 38:29.710
or change the belief in that top cover,

38:29.710 --> 38:31.710
then everyone of these
hashtags are something

38:31.710 --> 38:35.093
that you can count on to
continue growing to the point

38:35.093 --> 38:36.750
that they're viral.

38:36.750 --> 38:38.050
Everyday counts.

38:38.050 --> 38:39.200
I ask myself everyday,

38:39.200 --> 38:41.780
what did I do today to
help compete and win?

38:41.780 --> 38:45.020
Many days I'm disappointed
that the Pentagon pulled me out

38:45.020 --> 38:47.940
of doing the real job of
fighting for the future.

38:47.940 --> 38:51.560
I ask everyone here, ask
yourself that question everyday.

38:51.560 --> 38:55.650
What did you do today to make it count?

38:55.650 --> 38:57.540
If it didn't count for you,

38:57.540 --> 39:00.720
it may count for your
counterpart in China and Russia.

39:00.720 --> 39:04.120
Days go into months, months go into years.

39:04.120 --> 39:07.640
And years will be the
difference in victory or defeat.

39:07.640 --> 39:08.677
Let's win.

39:08.677 --> 39:09.929
Thanks you.

39:09.929 --> 39:13.166
(audience applauds)

39:13.166 --> 39:15.916
(dramatic music)

39:32.070 --> 39:34.160
- I can only say the Chinese couldn't

39:34.160 --> 39:36.570
have ever thought of this
and they're in trouble.

39:36.570 --> 39:37.793
Thank you Dr. Roper.

