WEBVTT

00:00.160 --> 00:02.300
- DFAS is responsible for
accounting, investing,

00:02.300 --> 00:03.580
payment of benefits, and reporting

00:03.580 --> 00:04.930
of the Military Retirement Fund.

00:04.930 --> 00:06.730
Established by Public Law 98-94,

00:06.730 --> 00:08.770
currently Chapter 74 of Title 10,

00:08.770 --> 00:11.440
United States Code
starting October 1, 1984,

00:11.440 --> 00:13.280
and we don't have time to
read except for this part.

00:13.280 --> 00:15.520
The Secretary of the Treasury
shall invest such portion

00:15.520 --> 00:17.520
of the Fund as is not in the judgment

00:17.520 --> 00:19.310
of the Secretary of
Defense required to meet

00:19.310 --> 00:20.440
current withdrawals.

00:20.440 --> 00:22.630
Such investments shall be
in public debt securities

00:22.630 --> 00:24.660
with maturities suitable
to the needs of the Fund,

00:24.660 --> 00:26.430
as determined by the Secretary of Defense,

00:26.430 --> 00:27.930
and bearing interest at rates determined

00:27.930 --> 00:29.610
by the Secretary of the Treasury,

00:29.610 --> 00:31.470
taking into consideration
current market yields

00:31.470 --> 00:33.050
on outstanding marketable obligations

00:33.050 --> 00:35.340
of the United States of
comparable maturities.

00:35.340 --> 00:38.040
If this section is amended
and the text in red is added,

00:38.040 --> 00:40.370
which will offer up to 25
percent in equity security

00:40.370 --> 00:42.230
so companies based in the United States,

00:42.230 --> 00:43.870
of which five percent may be invested

00:43.870 --> 00:45.630
in equity securities of
Department of Defense

00:45.630 --> 00:47.290
suppliers and vendors to hedge against

00:47.290 --> 00:48.910
unexpected future expenses.

00:48.910 --> 00:50.600
Doing so will save the
Department of Defense

00:50.600 --> 00:52.100
more than nine billion dollars per year

00:52.100 --> 00:54.370
indefinitely at a zero cost to implement,

00:54.370 --> 00:56.330
and be into an active
policy shift necessary

00:56.330 --> 00:58.100
to get the United States
back on a sustainable,

00:58.100 --> 00:59.730
long-term financial path.

00:59.730 --> 01:01.100
According to the Department of Treasury

01:01.100 --> 01:02.450
in the 2018 Financial Report

01:02.450 --> 01:03.570
of the United States Government,

01:03.570 --> 01:05.840
the U.S. collected 3.4 trillion in taxes

01:05.840 --> 01:07.810
and had net cost of 4.5 trillion

01:07.810 --> 01:10.150
for a negative 1.2 trillion bottom line.

01:10.150 --> 01:12.880
This path is unsustainable and
long-term fiscal projections

01:12.880 --> 01:15.000
indicate that the
government's debt to GDP ratio

01:15.000 --> 01:17.040
will rise from 78 percent in 2018

01:17.040 --> 01:19.730
to 530 percent over the next 75 years,

01:19.730 --> 01:22.090
and longer if current
policy is kept in place.

01:22.090 --> 01:23.960
If you went through the
military retirement fund

01:23.960 --> 01:26.370
audited reports for 2007 to 2018

01:26.370 --> 01:28.390
and pulled the numbers
for the total investments

01:28.390 --> 01:31.310
in the fund, the total
interest on investments earned,

01:31.310 --> 01:33.530
military service
contributions to the fund,

01:33.530 --> 01:35.910
treasury department payments to the fund,

01:35.910 --> 01:37.630
you would know the total revenue available

01:37.630 --> 01:40.480
to pay outlays or benefits to retirees.

01:40.480 --> 01:42.420
And you could also pull those numbers.

01:42.420 --> 01:43.900
If you put all those numbers in a table,

01:43.900 --> 01:45.390
it would look like this and you could see

01:45.390 --> 01:48.670
that the fund's assets grew
from 218 billion in 2007

01:48.670 --> 01:51.070
to 813 billion in 2018,

01:51.070 --> 01:53.730
a 595 billion dollar increase.

01:53.730 --> 01:55.900
The fund clicked at
179 billion in interest

01:55.900 --> 01:58.110
on assets of that time for
an average effective yield

01:58.110 --> 01:59.930
of 3.3 percent per year.

01:59.930 --> 02:01.580
The Department of Defense
made contributions

02:01.580 --> 02:03.620
of 228 billion over that time.

02:03.620 --> 02:06.150
The treasury made unfunded
liability normal cost payments

02:06.150 --> 02:07.970
of 831 billion.

02:07.970 --> 02:10.730
So the fund had a total
of 1.2 trillion dollars

02:10.730 --> 02:12.010
of net revenue.

02:12.010 --> 02:14.680
It paid out 634 billion to retirees,

02:14.680 --> 02:16.700
and we'll skip the actuarial gross costs

02:16.700 --> 02:18.220
and focus on net surplus,

02:18.220 --> 02:19.840
which will assume revenues are received

02:19.840 --> 02:21.260
and outlays are paid.

02:21.260 --> 02:22.880
And the net surplus can be contributed

02:22.880 --> 02:24.840
to a companion trust that
allows for investment

02:24.840 --> 02:27.470
in the TSP large US company C fund,

02:27.470 --> 02:29.100
the small US company S fund,

02:29.100 --> 02:31.890
and a Black Rock Aerospace
and Defense Fund.

02:31.890 --> 02:33.110
Here's the total weighted average

02:33.110 --> 02:35.120
of the companion fund, and the investments

02:35.120 --> 02:36.720
can still be invested
in the current strategy

02:36.720 --> 02:38.220
with the same historic yields.

02:38.220 --> 02:40.280
To really test the validity of this idea,

02:40.280 --> 02:41.900
I'll run it through
the worst-case scenario

02:41.900 --> 02:44.320
of starting it in 2008
during the financial crisis.

02:44.320 --> 02:45.850
The net surplus from 2008

02:45.850 --> 02:48.730
is divided in half, 17.4
billion goes into both

02:48.730 --> 02:51.210
the current strategy and
the proposed strategy.

02:51.210 --> 02:53.270
After that, one quarter
of the annual surplus

02:53.270 --> 02:55.220
is deposited into each strategy.

02:55.220 --> 02:58.060
The end result, a net benefit
of 105 billion dollars

02:58.060 --> 03:00.753
after 11 years, or about
9.5 billion per year.

