WEBVTT

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- We are grateful that he is here with us this afternoon,

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Secretary Tillerson.

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(applause)

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- Well, thank you so much, Stephen,

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for that warm welcome.

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We've known each other for a long time, as well,

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and in my old life, would often share perspectives

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on what I was seeing around the world

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and try to get some advice on whether I was leaning

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the correct way to the left or the right

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and the advice was always sound

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and very appreciated, thank you.

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I also want to thank Ambassador Cho

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for his introduction and welcome, as well.

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And I do appreciate the opportunity to speak to you

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at the 2017 Atlantic Council-Korea Foundation forum.

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I'm really gonna use this as an opportunity

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to reflect on the past 11 months.

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So we're gonna take a bit of a walk through the year.

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Gonna touch on a number of issues, some geographies,

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and I hope in doing so, and laying out what the

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President's priorities have been

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in the foreign policy arena, that a lot of the intersections

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of these policies will become evident to you.

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I think as was just stated by Steve Hadley,

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the world has become so interconnected

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that no part of the world can actually isolate

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itself or compartmentalize its foreign policy issues

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because they all tend to touch one another

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at some point.

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So, it may come as a surprise to some,

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although it should not,

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that underlying all of our policies, our strategies,

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and our tactics is a clear recognition

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that one of the advantages the US takes into all

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of our various foreign policy arenas

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are that we have many, many allies.

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Many allies born of shared sacrifice,

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born of shared values, and none any more so

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than the Republic of Korea.

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Through our shared sacrifice on the peninsula,

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and the shared values that have lead

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to a vibrant, prosperous South Korea that we see today,

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and as President Trump highlighted in his remarks

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to the General Assembly in Seoul in his recent trip

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to the Asia arena,

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what a stark difference when one goes to the DMZ

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and looks just across the DMZ a few miles.

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To see what a difference the values

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that have been adopted by the Republic of Korea

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and what that has created in terms

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of the quality of life of Korean citizens,

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and also the contributions to the global

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quality of life, as well, compared to the choices

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that have been made by North Korea.

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These large numbers of allies which are a great strength

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of US policy around the world are not matched

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by any of our adversaries.

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None of our adversaries have such an advantage.

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So what I'm going to do is, I'm not going to walk

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because if I walk, it'll take too long,

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but I'm gonna jog a bit around the world

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and I am gonna touch on, obviously,

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the situation with the DPRK and our relations

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with China, but I'm gonna touch on

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the efforts to defeat ISIS and, in particular,

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our efforts in Iraq and Syria,

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the broader counterterrorism policies

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that we are executing through the Middle East,

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many of which emerged from

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the President's historic Riyadh Summit,

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but how the counterterrorism is playing out

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in other parts of the world,

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in the Sahel in Africa, in Libya,

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but also we see it even in Asia,

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in the region in Philippines in Mindinao.

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Gonna touch on South Asia and the President's policy

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on Afghanistan, Pakistan and India,

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the EU-NATO relationship, Russia

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and our efforts to re-establish relations with Russia,

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and then I'm gonna just tick very quickly

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a few of the issues we're dealing with

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in the Western Hemisphere.

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But I think it is not lost,

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and I think the point was made,

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and I will not be the last to appreciate the irony

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of Atlantic Council hosting an event

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on US partnership with South Korea,

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and I think that point's been made.

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But in my view, it does make perfect sense,

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because as you have seen it takes unity

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and strong partnerships,

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those that span the Atlantic and Pacific,

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to counter the prospect of a nuclear-armed North Korea.

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From his first day in office,

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this was the first policy President Trump

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asked the State Department to develop

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and put in place.

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In clear recognition that he was going

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to take this threat seriously

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and he was not going to leave it unaddressed

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and he was not going to accept the status quo.

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It does represent and did represent then

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the most immediate threat to our country

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and that we would end the era of strategic patience

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and begin an era of strategic accountability.

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The threat is simply too large to ignore any longer.

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Our policy with respect to the DPRK is really quite clear,

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and that is the complete and verifiable

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denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula.

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It is a policy that is shared by others in the region.

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In fact, that is China's policy as well,

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and Russia has stated it is also its policy.

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So, while it is commonly held,

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our tactics for implementing the policy

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may differ a bit among parties in the region.

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Our approach, as you've seen, is to impose

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ever greater penalties and ever greater pressure

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on the regime in North Korea to persuade them to halt

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their current nuclear weapons development program

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and their systems by which they can deliver these weapons

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and to change that course and to choose a different course.

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We have put in place now over the past many months

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the most comprehensive set of economic sanctions

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that I think have ever been assembled

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through two very comprehensive UN Security Council

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resolutions with the support, notably,

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of both China and Russia.

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Clearly indications of how they view the seriousness

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of the threat, as well.

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These sanctions now have banned all coal exports

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from North Korea, they have ended their textile exports,

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they have put limits and will bring to an end

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the export of forced labor.

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They have also limited the imports of fuel,

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they've reduced oil imports.

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With each action, increasing the pressure on North Korea.

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We do know that these are having effects on the North.

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This is evidenced in terms of what we see happening

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with fuel prices for North Korean citizens

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which initially jumped 90%.

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They're now back to where they're up only 50%.

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We also know there are shortages beginning to appear.

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And there's also, though, appearing on the shelves

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of North Koreans, products which previously

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had been exported.

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So now they have to be consumed internally.

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These are combined with diplomatic sanctions

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where we have called on nations the world over

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to, not just fully implement the UN Security Council

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economic sanctions, but where they have a sense

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and a desire to do so, to also isolate

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the North Korean regime further by recalling

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their diplomats, closing their offices,

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and letting North Korea know that with each of these

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provocative tests, they only become more and more isolated.

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More than 22 countries have sent

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North Korea's diplomats back home.

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And for some, it may not seem significant,

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but for small countries that may not have a lot of

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economic influence, it is yet another important signal.

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So from nations like Peru, to Spain, to Italy,

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to Portugal, have cut off the diplomacy ties, as well.

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And we know the regime notices when

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that Ambassador comes home because they're

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not representing that office elsewhere,

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further isolating them from their contact

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with the rest of the world.

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These are all very important steps, again,

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to reinforce to the regime that,

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with each step you take, you only isolate

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yourself further, and you do not improve your security,

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but you degrade your own security.

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Important to the success of all of this

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is the very strong trilateral relationship

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that exists between the United States,

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the Republic of Korea and Japan.

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This is the basis for the security,

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the structure of the region,

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and it is one that we continue in place

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and we continue to exercise together,

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so that we are ready for any possible military response

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that might be required.

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The enforcement of these sanctions have also gone beyond

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the direct entities, but we've also sanctioned individuals

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and other entities including banks,

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some banks within China and elsewhere

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who are facilitating violations of these sanctions

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by North Korea.

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So anywhere we see North Korea attempting to exploit

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loopholes or attempting to exploit other avenues

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to skirt these sanctions, we attempt to close

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those off as well.

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Time is marching on, and with each additional test,

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North Korea does demonstrate the advancement

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of its program.

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The most recent intercontinental ballistic missile test,

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I think demonstrates they certainly have capability

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to continue to advance their program

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and we would expect they're doing the same

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on other elements of an integrated nuclear weapons system.

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So we need the DPRK to come to the table for talks.

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We're ready to talk any time they'd like to talk,

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but they have to come to the table

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and they have to come to the table with a view that they

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do want to make a different choice.

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In the meantime, our military preparedness is strong.

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Because of the situation, the President has ordered

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our military planners to have a full range

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of contingencies available and they are ready.

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As I've told people many times,

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I will continue our diplomatic efforts

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until the first bomb drops.

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I'm gonna be confident that we're gonna be successful,

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but I'm also confident Secretary Mattis

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will be successful if it ends up being his term.

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With respect to China, North Korea really represented

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our first engagement of this administration with China.

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It was the first trip I made overseas was to

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Japan, South Korea, and China to begin

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the first articulations of this policy

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on North Korea's nuclear program,

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the end of strategic patience.

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In many ways this, I think, was fortuitous

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because it allowed this administration,

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in its first engagements with China,

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to find something that we could work together on.

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And when we understood that our policies were identical

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and our objectives were the same,

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then that gave us a platform from which to engage

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on a positive way from the outset.

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The history, as all of you know, of US-China relations

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has been defined since the historic opening

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of the relationship, with Nixon's visit.

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And that served the US and the Chinese well.

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And it served the rest of the world well.

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But times have changed, China has risen

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its economic power and, in many ways,

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the successful Beijing Olympics was, perhaps,

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the coming out of China to the rest of the world

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with a new sense of confidence

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and a new sense of a way forward.

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I think both of us, the US and China, are now searching

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for what will define the US-China relationship

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for the next 50 years, because that relationship

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that was defined by the One-China Policy

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and the Three Joint Communiques has served everyone well.

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China has risen as an economic force in the world

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and while they like to continue to describe themselves

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as a developing nation, because they have

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hundreds of millions who still need to move out of poverty,

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they are not a developing nation in the traditional sense.

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They have an economy that is very large

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and it certainly has its influence on global markets.

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But as China has risen, a number of disparities

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have now occurred between the US and China trade relations

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and China and other nations and trade relations, as well,

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which have to be addressed.

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So, in engaging with China and the first summit

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with President Xi coming to Mar-a-Lago,

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we worked with the Chinese to find a way to begin

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an exchange of understanding and views

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at a much higher level than had previously been conducted.

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As many of you know, there were many, many

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dialogue mechanisms with China over the past several years.

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I think when I got to the State Department,

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we had 26 different dialogues at various levels.

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Our view was that we needed to elevate

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these dialogues to a much higher level

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within our respective governments,

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closer to the ultimate decision-makers.

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So we created four significant high-level dialogues

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with representation from our side

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and from the Chinese side that is very close

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to President Trump and very close to President Xi.

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The four dialogues are lead by Cabinet-level secretaries

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on our side and the equivalents on the Chinese side.

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The diplomatic and strategic dialogue is chaired

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by Secretary Mattis and myself,

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and this dialogue is really to explore areas

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that we can work together and explore areas

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where we have differences.

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And in this exploratory process, create results

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that will, over time, hopefully allow us to define

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what this new relationship will be.

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The other dialogues are economic and trade,

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law enforcement and cyber,

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and social people to people dialogues.

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All four of the dialogues met throughout

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the last year and they are designed to be results-driven

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and the results of those were reported out

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during President Trump's summit in Beijing,

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his state visit plus.

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So I think with respect to our relationship with China,

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we now have a very active mechanism in which we can

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put complex issues on the table.

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And we have differences such as the South China Sea

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and China's building of structures, militarization

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of these structures, and how that affects our allies

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in the region, as well, in terms of free and open trade.

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As we've said to the Chinese,

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we hope we can find a way to freeze

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this particular activity, whether we can reverse it

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remains to be seen, but it is not acceptable to us

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that these islands continue to be developed

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and certainly not for military purposes.

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In Southeast Asia, we put forth a policy here

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not too long ago of a free and open Indo-Pacific.

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And this was built on the back of some of our views

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about China's One Belt One Road policy.

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China's One Belt One Road, we understand is a policy

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they have to continue their economic development

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and our policies do not seek to contain

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China's economic development, but China's economic

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development, in our view, should take place

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in the system of international rules and norms

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and One Belt One Road seems to want to define

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its own rules and norms.

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I'd like to quote Secretary Mattis' comment on

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One Belt One Road for China, he said,

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"Well, the US and the rest of the world has

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"many belts and many roads and no one country

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"gets to decide what they are."

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So, a free and open Indo-Pacific means

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all countries have access to continue

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their economic development and free access for trade

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through the region.

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As part of the free and open Indo-Pacific,

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we have elevated our engagement with India.

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We've long had a trilateral relationship

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in the Indo-Pacific between Japan, Australia

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and the US, and we're now working toward whether

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this will become a quad relationship to include India

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because of the importance of India's rising economy,

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as well, and I think shared national security concerns

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that we have with India.

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And moving to the defeat ISIS campaign quickly,

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and Iraq and Syria, as the President entered office,

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he took a significant policy shift in the war to

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defeat ISIS in Iraq and Syria and ordered

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aggressive new strategies and empowered

17:39.972 --> 17:43.077
our military commanders on the ground to carry out

17:43.077 --> 17:47.052
battlefield decisions in a way that would win the war

17:47.052 --> 17:48.635
on the battlefield.

17:49.098 --> 17:52.361
After fully activating the DOD approach of by, with

17:52.361 --> 17:55.694
and through others with his authorities,

17:56.105 --> 17:59.180
the military has, in fact, began to make significant gains

17:59.180 --> 18:02.280
and, as we know today, Prime Minister Abadi

18:02.280 --> 18:05.613
recently declared ISIS defeated in Iraq.

18:05.673 --> 18:08.001
We are still defeating ISIS in Syria,

18:08.001 --> 18:11.251
but significant progress has been made.

18:12.080 --> 18:14.161
As a result of the military success,

18:14.161 --> 18:16.476
we in the State Department have really had to

18:16.476 --> 18:19.039
run fast to catch up with the military success

18:19.039 --> 18:22.273
with the diplomatic plans as to what comes after

18:22.273 --> 18:23.856
the defeat of ISIS.

18:24.750 --> 18:26.550
And we've executed much of this through

18:26.550 --> 18:29.807
the Coalition to Defeat ISIS, a coalition of 74 members,

18:29.807 --> 18:33.584
68 countries and including organizations such as

18:33.584 --> 18:36.084
NATO, Interpol, EU and others.

18:36.784 --> 18:39.661
Seven and a half million people have now been freed

18:39.661 --> 18:42.661
of ISIS' clutches in Iraq and Syria.

18:43.453 --> 18:46.758
95% of territory previously controlled by

18:46.758 --> 18:49.918
their caliphate, has now been liberated.

18:49.918 --> 18:53.249
Our efforts now are to stabilize these areas

18:53.249 --> 18:56.898
after liberation to avoid a reemergence of ISIS

18:56.898 --> 19:00.527
but also to avoid a reemergence of local conflicts

19:00.527 --> 19:02.444
between various groups.

19:03.186 --> 19:07.353
So our work with the DOD is to deconflict the battlefield

19:08.221 --> 19:10.995
and to stabilize areas and we've had success working

19:10.995 --> 19:14.601
with Jordan and with Russia in Syria to create

19:14.601 --> 19:17.415
de-escalation zones that prevent the reemergence

19:17.415 --> 19:18.832
of the civil war.

19:19.426 --> 19:23.259
All directed towards moving the talks in Syria

19:24.094 --> 19:27.244
to Geneva to fully implement UN Security Council

19:27.244 --> 19:29.816
Resolution 2254, which calls for

19:29.816 --> 19:33.983
a new Syrian constitution and elections be overseen

19:34.223 --> 19:35.773
by the United Nations in which

19:35.773 --> 19:38.273
all Syrian diaspora will vote.

19:38.953 --> 19:40.722
So this includes the voting of Syrians

19:40.722 --> 19:43.453
who have been displaced because of the fighting,

19:43.453 --> 19:45.372
whether it be due to the civil war

19:45.372 --> 19:48.622
or subsequently due to ISIS' emergence.

19:49.196 --> 19:51.614
A very important joint statement was issued by

19:51.614 --> 19:55.781
President Trump and President Putin on the margins of APEC

19:55.787 --> 19:58.972
in Da Nang, Vietnam in which both leaders

19:58.972 --> 20:01.333
affirmed their commitment to this process

20:01.333 --> 20:05.500
as the way forward to ensure a unified, whole, democratic

20:06.113 --> 20:07.363
and free Syria.

20:08.853 --> 20:12.386
Talks have begun, in Geneva again, with a reformed

20:12.386 --> 20:15.986
opposition representation and we have asked Russia

20:15.986 --> 20:19.647
to ensure the regime participates in these talks

20:19.647 --> 20:22.498
and the regime has been present at the talks

20:22.498 --> 20:26.134
and now we need to keep everyone at the table.

20:26.134 --> 20:28.396
We will continue to work with Russia

20:28.396 --> 20:32.269
in areas where we can in Syria to continue to promote

20:32.269 --> 20:36.174
a de-escalation of the violence, stabilization of the areas

20:36.174 --> 20:40.065
and a resolution for Syria that will be a product

20:40.065 --> 20:41.898
of the Geneva process.

20:43.532 --> 20:47.699
In Iraq, the liberation of all areas is now complete.

20:49.209 --> 20:51.561
And in both of the campaigns, we've now recaptured

20:51.561 --> 20:54.978
the caliphate's capitals of Mosul in Iraq

20:55.282 --> 20:56.865
and Raqqa in Syria.

20:58.448 --> 21:01.867
I think the early engagement in Iraq with Arab neighbors

21:01.867 --> 21:03.885
has been important to the future of Iraq

21:03.885 --> 21:08.052
also being sustained with its democratic government

21:09.045 --> 21:12.462
and sustaining Iraq as a unified country.

21:13.434 --> 21:16.160
Having Arab neighbors engage early

21:16.160 --> 21:18.966
as the war to defeat ISIS progressed,

21:18.966 --> 21:21.486
importantly with the historic visit

21:21.486 --> 21:23.326
because it's been more than three decades

21:23.326 --> 21:27.493
since the Arab world had relationships with Baghdad.

21:27.729 --> 21:30.437
The Saudis were the first to engage

21:30.437 --> 21:33.354
and have created now economic talks

21:33.722 --> 21:35.178
and consultative committees,

21:35.178 --> 21:37.329
they've reopened two border crossings,

21:37.329 --> 21:39.895
they are resuming flights between Baghdad

21:39.895 --> 21:42.796
and between Riyadh, sending an important message

21:42.796 --> 21:46.963
to all Iraqis and reminding them that Iraqis are Arab

21:48.766 --> 21:52.933
and you should reengage and reunite with the Arab world.

21:53.054 --> 21:55.376
There have been consultative councils set up

21:55.376 --> 21:56.767
with the Saudis and Iraqis

21:56.767 --> 21:59.904
and there'll be a second reconstruction conference

21:59.904 --> 22:02.654
hosted by the Kuwaitis in January

22:02.849 --> 22:06.079
all intended to ensure that the government in Baghdad

22:06.079 --> 22:10.017
and Iraqis understand you have friends to the south

22:10.017 --> 22:12.576
who want to support your reconstruction

22:12.576 --> 22:15.721
and your reestablishment of your country.

22:15.721 --> 22:19.888
Importantly, the policy has always been a unified Iraq

22:20.981 --> 22:23.351
and as you know, the independence referendum

22:23.351 --> 22:27.246
which was undertaken by the Kurdish regional authorities

22:27.246 --> 22:31.163
a few months back was disruptive to that unity.

22:31.976 --> 22:33.922
We're working through that process now,

22:33.922 --> 22:37.233
between Baghdad and Erbil to ensure the two parties

22:37.233 --> 22:40.070
remain unified and we are supporting

22:40.070 --> 22:44.237
both deconfliction and we're supporting a reengagement

22:44.540 --> 22:46.501
around the Iraqi constitution

22:46.501 --> 22:48.929
which was never fully implemented.

22:48.929 --> 22:51.059
And we will stand, and we've said we'll stand

22:51.059 --> 22:54.144
with the Kurds to support them in the full implementation

22:54.144 --> 22:57.600
of the Iraqi constitution, which when it is

22:57.600 --> 23:01.563
fully implemented, will address a number of grievances

23:01.563 --> 23:04.155
that the Kurdish people have had for some time

23:04.155 --> 23:07.738
and we hope will lead to that unified Iraq.

23:10.192 --> 23:11.672
In counterterrorism more broadly,

23:11.672 --> 23:14.180
again, I would take you back to the President's

23:14.180 --> 23:17.368
historic summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

23:17.368 --> 23:20.169
where he convened 68 leaders of Muslim countries

23:20.169 --> 23:23.586
around the world, making the case to them

23:23.660 --> 23:26.555
that the voices of violent extremism are a problem

23:26.555 --> 23:28.138
only you can solve.

23:28.418 --> 23:30.515
The United States cannot solve this, we can help

23:30.515 --> 23:33.087
you solve this, but this has to be something

23:33.087 --> 23:36.670
that Muslim leaders the world over address.

23:36.950 --> 23:40.877
So out of that summit were two very important commitments,

23:40.877 --> 23:43.935
to create a center to counter violent extremism

23:43.935 --> 23:46.922
in Saudi Arabia and to create a center to disrupt

23:46.922 --> 23:49.610
counterterrorism financing networks.

23:49.610 --> 23:52.322
Both of those centers have now been established

23:52.322 --> 23:54.845
and they are getting underway with work to

23:54.845 --> 23:57.869
not just defeat counterterrorism on the battlefield,

23:57.869 --> 24:00.936
as we say, or defeat terrorism on the battlefield,

24:00.936 --> 24:03.193
but to counter it in cyberspace.

24:03.193 --> 24:06.309
The center for violent extremism has a large bank

24:06.309 --> 24:09.642
of individuals that monitor social media

24:09.964 --> 24:12.673
for messaging to disrupt the messaging

24:12.673 --> 24:15.054
but also to develop counter-messaging

24:15.054 --> 24:18.067
to counter these messages of violent extremism.

24:18.067 --> 24:20.609
This is also important, and we've had these conversations

24:20.609 --> 24:23.967
with the Saudis, that they must get these messages

24:23.967 --> 24:26.624
into the mosque, they must get these messages into

24:26.624 --> 24:29.261
the madrasas, and they must get these messages

24:29.261 --> 24:30.864
into the educational materials

24:30.864 --> 24:33.045
that are put into the schools.

24:33.045 --> 24:36.111
The Saudis are publishing new materials now,

24:36.111 --> 24:37.769
they are recalling materials,

24:37.769 --> 24:40.152
but we have a lot of work to do to overcome

24:40.152 --> 24:43.152
these messages of violent extremism.

24:43.349 --> 24:45.402
The center to counter terrorism financing

24:45.402 --> 24:47.469
is also being established with the help

24:47.469 --> 24:49.034
of the Treasury Department

24:49.034 --> 24:51.975
and it is linking up with other sources of information

24:51.975 --> 24:54.206
around the world to be able to track

24:54.206 --> 24:57.687
how funds are moved about to support terrorist activities

24:57.687 --> 24:58.937
the world over.

24:59.132 --> 25:00.801
Again, we can win on the battlefield,

25:00.801 --> 25:02.806
but if we don't win in the cyberspace

25:02.806 --> 25:05.323
and we don't disrupt the network's abilities

25:05.323 --> 25:08.984
to reestablish themselves, we know they will appear

25:08.984 --> 25:11.609
elsewhere, as we have seen them appear in Libya,

25:11.609 --> 25:13.842
we've seen them appear in Mindanao,

25:13.842 --> 25:16.726
we've seen them appear in the Sahel.

25:16.726 --> 25:18.610
The global effort to defeat ISIS

25:18.610 --> 25:21.447
and the global effort to defeat terrorism

25:21.447 --> 25:24.607
is one of the President's top priorities.

25:24.607 --> 25:26.779
And that takes us to the South Asia policy

25:26.779 --> 25:29.612
in Afghanistan, Pakistan and India

25:29.855 --> 25:31.950
and the approach to this policy really was

25:31.950 --> 25:33.617
a regional approach.

25:33.752 --> 25:36.759
The President made the decision and announced the policy

25:36.759 --> 25:38.729
that we would remain in Afghanistan,

25:38.729 --> 25:40.840
we would remain engaged in the fight to defeat

25:40.840 --> 25:44.059
the Taliban and that the time and effort would be

25:44.059 --> 25:45.476
conditions-based.

25:46.809 --> 25:50.892
He said it's not a blank check, it's not forever,

25:51.018 --> 25:53.606
so the government of Afghanistan needs to understand

25:53.606 --> 25:56.084
they must continue their reform journey

25:56.084 --> 25:58.772
and they must continue to create conditions

25:58.772 --> 26:01.167
that will be inclusive to all ethnic groups

26:01.167 --> 26:04.862
within Afghanistan including a place for the Taliban

26:04.862 --> 26:07.446
to participate in a legitimate government

26:07.446 --> 26:10.194
when the Taliban is ready to renounce terrorism,

26:10.194 --> 26:13.305
renounce the fight, and come to the table.

26:13.305 --> 26:16.888
So a conditions-based approach is to ensure

26:17.574 --> 26:21.030
the Taliban know you will never win a battlefield victory

26:21.030 --> 26:23.181
and the way forward is going to be by engaging

26:23.181 --> 26:25.431
in a reconciliation process

26:25.551 --> 26:29.718
and ultimately joining a government in Afghanistan.

26:29.821 --> 26:31.534
An important part of the regional approach

26:31.534 --> 26:34.171
is our relationship with Pakistan.

26:34.171 --> 26:36.636
The US and Pakistan have had a long history

26:36.636 --> 26:39.649
of good relations, but that relationship has really

26:39.649 --> 26:42.482
deteriorated over the past decade.

26:42.851 --> 26:47.018
So now we're engaged with Pakistan in a conversation

26:47.985 --> 26:51.220
to ensure our expectations of them are clear,

26:51.220 --> 26:55.387
that our concern is really about Pakistan's stability.

26:55.640 --> 26:58.630
Pakistan has allowed so many terrorist organizations

26:58.630 --> 27:01.538
to find safe haven within its territories

27:01.538 --> 27:03.991
and these organizations are growing in size

27:03.991 --> 27:06.622
and influence, that at some point I have said

27:06.622 --> 27:10.160
to the leadership of Pakistan, you may be the target

27:10.160 --> 27:12.106
when they turn their attention from Kabul

27:12.106 --> 27:16.068
and decide they like Islamabad as a target better.

27:16.068 --> 27:19.092
We want to work with Pakistan to stamp out terrorism

27:19.092 --> 27:20.884
within their boundaries as well.

27:20.884 --> 27:24.272
But Pakistan has to begin the process of changing

27:24.272 --> 27:28.439
its relationship with the Haqqani network and with others.

27:29.213 --> 27:31.145
I understand that this is a relationship

27:31.145 --> 27:34.356
that has emerged probably for, in their view,

27:34.356 --> 27:38.180
good reasons a decade ago, but now that relationship

27:38.180 --> 27:41.475
has to be altered because, if they're not careful,

27:41.475 --> 27:42.867
Pakistan is going to lose control

27:42.867 --> 27:44.617
of their own country.

27:45.052 --> 27:47.700
We want to work with them in a positive way,

27:47.700 --> 27:50.222
we're willing to share information with them

27:50.222 --> 27:51.829
and we want them to be successful,

27:51.829 --> 27:54.797
but we cannot continue with the status quo

27:54.797 --> 27:58.107
where terrorist organizations are allowed to find

27:58.107 --> 28:00.607
safe haven inside of Pakistan.

28:02.932 --> 28:05.973
I wanna touch a bit on the NATO and Europe

28:05.973 --> 28:07.721
relationship quickly.

28:07.721 --> 28:10.773
This was an early trip of the President's, as well.

28:10.773 --> 28:13.078
I think the important thing is that

28:13.078 --> 28:16.435
the Atlantic Alliance is as strong as ever,

28:16.435 --> 28:19.453
notwithstanding what people may describe

28:19.453 --> 28:20.657
or want to write.

28:20.657 --> 28:22.824
I just came back from a full week in Europe,

28:22.824 --> 28:25.698
two days in Brussels at NATO and meetings with

28:25.698 --> 28:27.698
the EU member countries,

28:28.459 --> 28:31.319
was in Vienna for the OSCE meetings,

28:31.319 --> 28:33.578
and then a full day in Paris.

28:33.578 --> 28:36.745
Everywhere that I went this past week,

28:36.917 --> 28:40.508
and at every engagement, there's still very strong ties

28:40.508 --> 28:44.073
between the US and all of our partners and allies

28:44.073 --> 28:47.111
within Europe, and there is great unity around

28:47.111 --> 28:48.878
issues of importance to both of us,

28:48.878 --> 28:53.045
which are security issues, economic and trade issues.

28:53.344 --> 28:56.074
We have a lot that we have to work through.

28:56.074 --> 28:58.867
The President's message to our European allies

28:58.867 --> 29:02.745
has been we're there for you, we will be there for you,

29:02.745 --> 29:05.148
but at NATO in particular, and we will meet that

29:05.148 --> 29:08.981
Article 5 commitment, but to our NATO partners

29:09.751 --> 29:13.275
and member countries, you cannot ask the American people

29:13.275 --> 29:15.978
to care more about the security of your citizens

29:15.978 --> 29:17.895
than you care yourself.

29:18.140 --> 29:20.158
So the President has been very demanding

29:20.158 --> 29:21.658
on burden sharing.

29:21.866 --> 29:24.114
The American people simply cannot carry

29:24.114 --> 29:26.980
a disproportionate share of this burden

29:26.980 --> 29:29.095
for years to come and everyone

29:29.095 --> 29:32.492
has to be willing to take their share of this.

29:32.492 --> 29:35.084
There are agreements at NATO for all countries

29:35.084 --> 29:38.039
to achieve a 2% of GDP defense spending

29:38.039 --> 29:40.086
and the President is putting a lot of pressure

29:40.086 --> 29:41.687
on countries to meet that.

29:41.687 --> 29:43.809
A number of countries have stepped up,

29:43.809 --> 29:47.369
NATO's receipts and spending are up about 8% this year,

29:47.369 --> 29:49.860
and others have put in commitments and plans

29:49.860 --> 29:51.993
to increase their defense spending.

29:51.993 --> 29:54.485
This will give NATO a stronger defense posture

29:54.485 --> 29:56.740
to deal with threats from the south,

29:56.740 --> 29:59.006
which is an area we've asked NATO to focus on

29:59.006 --> 30:02.589
counterterrorism because European countries

30:02.631 --> 30:05.920
feel the greatest effects of the trans-migration

30:05.920 --> 30:08.663
that has occurred as a result of ISIS.

30:08.663 --> 30:12.330
And also threats from the east, from Russia.

30:12.442 --> 30:14.609
Which brings me to Russia.

30:14.771 --> 30:16.401
I think the President has been quite clear

30:16.401 --> 30:18.263
that he views it as extremely important

30:18.263 --> 30:20.463
that the United States and Russia have

30:20.463 --> 30:22.380
a working relationship.

30:22.435 --> 30:23.768
Today we do not.

30:24.466 --> 30:27.524
And I have touched on areas where we are cooperating,

30:27.524 --> 30:31.024
in Syria, but Russia's invasion of Ukraine

30:31.320 --> 30:34.237
is something that we cannot accept.

30:34.571 --> 30:37.527
As I have indicated to others in Europe last week,

30:37.527 --> 30:41.124
it's one thing for countries to choose sides in conflicts,

30:41.124 --> 30:43.907
Russia wanted to choose the side of Bashar al-Assad,

30:43.907 --> 30:45.240
we chose not to.

30:45.919 --> 30:47.478
But when you invade another country

30:47.478 --> 30:51.645
and take their territory, that cannot be left to stand.

30:52.905 --> 30:55.115
And that is the basis for the very stringent

30:55.115 --> 30:57.876
sanctions regime that the US and Europe imposed

30:57.876 --> 31:00.040
on Russia as a result of that invasion.

31:00.040 --> 31:04.207
And that regime will not change until Russia's invasion

31:05.040 --> 31:08.985
of Ukraine is resolved and Ukraine's territorial integrity

31:08.985 --> 31:09.985
is returned.

31:10.831 --> 31:14.809
We are engaged in attempting to break the logjam

31:14.809 --> 31:18.809
for East Ukraine to implement the Minsk Accords.

31:19.360 --> 31:23.527
These talks were frozen when the President took office,

31:23.580 --> 31:26.267
and in my first meeting with President Putin,

31:26.267 --> 31:30.326
he asked if we would appoint someone to work directly

31:30.326 --> 31:32.578
with him, with the Kremlin to see if we could

31:32.578 --> 31:36.411
restart these talks, or restart some movement.

31:37.916 --> 31:40.559
I appointed former NATO Ambassador Kurt Volker

31:40.559 --> 31:42.309
to take that task on.

31:42.361 --> 31:45.185
The task we're working on immediately is...

31:45.185 --> 31:47.295
And we're focused on East Ukraine because the violence

31:47.295 --> 31:51.462
in East Ukraine continues, we have higher incidents

31:51.694 --> 31:55.111
of civilian casualties and deaths in 2017

31:55.421 --> 31:57.088
than we had in 2016.

31:58.306 --> 32:01.990
Incidents of ceasefire violations are up 60%

32:01.990 --> 32:04.924
and we must get the violence down in East Ukraine.

32:04.924 --> 32:07.281
So our priority is to end the violence,

32:07.281 --> 32:10.526
stop the killing that's going on in East Ukraine,

32:10.526 --> 32:12.731
and we are working with Russia to see if we can

32:12.731 --> 32:14.841
come to some agreement on the mandate

32:14.841 --> 32:18.030
for a UN peacekeeping force that will bring

32:18.030 --> 32:20.030
this violence to an end.

32:20.105 --> 32:21.955
Then we can turn to the other elements

32:21.955 --> 32:24.288
that have to be implemented.

32:24.761 --> 32:28.191
The government in Kiev has much to do to continue

32:28.191 --> 32:29.660
their own reforms and to meet

32:29.660 --> 32:32.028
their obligations under Minsk.

32:32.028 --> 32:35.632
Russia has to use its influence on the rebel forces

32:35.632 --> 32:37.730
it is supporting in East Ukraine

32:37.730 --> 32:41.480
to end this violence and move us back towards

32:41.811 --> 32:44.213
progress under the Minsk Accords.

32:44.213 --> 32:47.380
We will return to the issue of Crimea.

32:47.410 --> 32:49.298
I know that President Putin's made it clear

32:49.298 --> 32:51.505
that's not on the table for discussion,

32:51.505 --> 32:53.588
it will be at some point.

32:54.162 --> 32:57.731
But today, we want to stop the violence in East Ukraine

32:57.731 --> 33:00.413
and let's see if we can solve that one.

33:00.413 --> 33:02.339
In other areas with Russia,

33:02.339 --> 33:05.672
we are looking for possible cooperations

33:06.091 --> 33:09.455
where we have joint counterterrorism interest.

33:09.455 --> 33:11.732
We know we're gonna have to continue to deal with

33:11.732 --> 33:13.732
Russia's hybrid warfare.

33:14.139 --> 33:16.995
We felt it in our elections and we now have reports

33:16.995 --> 33:18.970
from many European countries that they're seeing

33:18.970 --> 33:20.387
the same effects.

33:21.638 --> 33:24.028
It is something I do not understand,

33:24.028 --> 33:26.207
about why Russia thinks it's in its interest

33:26.207 --> 33:30.374
to disrupt the free and fair elections of other countries.

33:30.878 --> 33:33.211
What do you hope to achieve?

33:33.677 --> 33:35.916
I don't understand it and no one's been able

33:35.916 --> 33:37.977
to answer that question for me.

33:37.977 --> 33:40.414
But we make it clear that we see it,

33:40.414 --> 33:42.566
it needs to end, it needs to stop.

33:42.566 --> 33:45.013
And it too stands in the way of re-normalizing

33:45.013 --> 33:46.513
our relationships.

33:47.429 --> 33:49.368
We maintain a very active dialogue with

33:49.368 --> 33:52.084
our Russian counterparts, very strong mil to mil

33:52.084 --> 33:55.459
dialogues, very strong diplomatic dialogue,

33:55.459 --> 33:57.985
and so we're gonna keep that dialogue underway.

33:57.985 --> 34:01.715
But, as we've said to our Russian counterparts,

34:01.715 --> 34:03.632
we need some good news.

34:03.851 --> 34:06.303
We need something good to happen in this relationship

34:06.303 --> 34:08.570
and today we can't point to anything.

34:08.570 --> 34:09.737
We're waiting.

34:09.983 --> 34:11.150
We're waiting.

34:11.741 --> 34:13.724
So lastly, in the Western Hemisphere

34:13.724 --> 34:15.342
the things that we've been concerned with

34:15.342 --> 34:18.402
are obviously migration from Central America,

34:18.402 --> 34:21.902
from Mexico, trans-criminal organizations,

34:22.498 --> 34:24.424
the narcotics trade in particular, which also

34:24.424 --> 34:27.174
supports human trafficking trade.

34:27.477 --> 34:30.033
But we do see many other opportunities

34:30.033 --> 34:32.586
with Central and South America.

34:32.586 --> 34:35.966
We have developed strong trans-criminal organization

34:35.966 --> 34:37.818
dialogues with Mexico, we're hosting

34:37.818 --> 34:41.452
another round this week at the ministerial level.

34:41.452 --> 34:44.785
We co-hosted an event in Miami this year

34:45.367 --> 34:48.821
on Central American security and prosperity

34:48.821 --> 34:51.057
and we are working together on the situation

34:51.057 --> 34:53.126
in Venezuela, both through the OAS

34:53.126 --> 34:54.959
and through the Lima Group.

34:54.959 --> 34:57.391
I could touch on Cuba and some other areas,

34:57.391 --> 34:59.726
but I'm not gonna spend a lot of time there,

34:59.726 --> 35:02.143
I'm happy to take those in a question.

35:02.143 --> 35:05.069
And in Africa, our concentration has really been on two

35:05.069 --> 35:08.402
primary arenas, addressing the emergence

35:09.164 --> 35:12.105
of potential terrorism organizations in Africa,

35:12.105 --> 35:14.681
but also addressing a humanitarian crisis

35:14.681 --> 35:18.848
that we're facing in the Sudan and other regions of Africa.

35:19.003 --> 35:21.670
So it's been a really busy year,

35:22.226 --> 35:25.428
it's interesting to me that some people seem to want

35:25.428 --> 35:26.955
to observe that there's nothing happening

35:26.955 --> 35:29.770
at the State Department, because I'm walking through

35:29.770 --> 35:32.421
this hollowed-out building and listening to the echoes

35:32.421 --> 35:36.549
of the heels of my shoes as I walk down the halls.

35:36.549 --> 35:38.257
I had a great town hall this morning

35:38.257 --> 35:39.995
with the State Department,

35:39.995 --> 35:41.374
all of our State Department colleagues.

35:41.374 --> 35:42.791
We talked about the year in review,

35:42.791 --> 35:45.653
we talked about the redesigned State Department.

35:45.653 --> 35:47.849
And, yes, I have a lot of open positions,

35:47.849 --> 35:50.599
I have nominees for them, I'd love to get them in place,

35:50.599 --> 35:52.466
it makes a big difference.

35:52.466 --> 35:55.165
But I want to tell you, the quality of the individuals,

35:55.165 --> 35:57.550
of the career people at the State Department,

35:57.550 --> 35:59.341
the career Foreign Service Officers,

35:59.341 --> 36:02.283
the people who are serving in ambassadorial roles,

36:02.283 --> 36:04.229
they're dedicated to the mission

36:04.229 --> 36:05.982
and they're stepping up into these roles.

36:05.982 --> 36:09.565
They may be in an acting role, they own it,

36:10.260 --> 36:11.999
they dive right into these issues,

36:11.999 --> 36:13.734
they have been nothing but supportive of

36:13.734 --> 36:17.638
the President's policies, pivots that had to be made,

36:17.638 --> 36:20.571
and I know this is not easy for many of them

36:20.571 --> 36:22.336
because they've been executing a policy

36:22.336 --> 36:24.091
under the prior administration,

36:24.091 --> 36:26.434
we now are gonna go a different direction.

36:26.434 --> 36:28.764
I want to tell you, their ability and their nimbleness,

36:28.764 --> 36:30.055
they're quick to get behind

36:30.055 --> 36:32.217
and understand what the President's objectives

36:32.217 --> 36:34.995
and priorities are and then we will work hard

36:34.995 --> 36:36.264
to deliver on that mission.

36:36.264 --> 36:37.347
That's something everyone at

36:37.347 --> 36:39.055
the State Department understands.

36:39.055 --> 36:42.111
We talked a lot about it this morning,

36:42.111 --> 36:45.614
I couldn't be more proud of their accomplishments.

36:45.614 --> 36:48.285
All these issues I just went through

36:48.285 --> 36:50.285
and touched on with you,

36:50.332 --> 36:52.514
there has been some bureau over there

36:52.514 --> 36:55.444
working on this throughout this year

36:55.444 --> 36:57.795
to reposition the President's policies

36:57.795 --> 36:59.906
and to execute against those.

36:59.906 --> 37:02.282
I feel very, very confident with the team

37:02.282 --> 37:04.682
we have in place now and it's only gonna get stronger

37:04.682 --> 37:07.233
as we add some more people to it.

37:07.233 --> 37:09.927
But I'm gonna stop there and sit down

37:09.927 --> 37:11.828
with Stephen Hadley, my old friend,

37:11.828 --> 37:13.337
and we'll have a conversation about

37:13.337 --> 37:15.150
what he wants to talk about, which may be more

37:15.150 --> 37:17.039
what you wanted to talk about.

37:17.039 --> 37:20.372
I think the important thing I would say,

37:20.391 --> 37:23.141
as I made that quick walk around,

37:23.796 --> 37:27.148
I can take almost any two or three of those

37:27.148 --> 37:28.969
and we could put them on a whiteboard,

37:28.969 --> 37:32.302
and every one of them touches the other.

37:32.551 --> 37:34.151
So a lot of people, it's interesting,

37:34.151 --> 37:36.039
when I have conversations with people about

37:36.039 --> 37:38.913
well, what are you getting done in a particular arena,

37:38.913 --> 37:40.811
is to compartmentalize.

37:40.811 --> 37:43.184
This is not a world that lends itself

37:43.184 --> 37:45.798
to compartmentalization any longer.

37:45.798 --> 37:47.303
There's too many interconnections,

37:47.303 --> 37:49.401
there are too many intersections

37:49.401 --> 37:51.393
and recognizing those is important

37:51.393 --> 37:53.227
if you're really going to solve some of these

37:53.227 --> 37:55.101
and solve them once and for all.

37:55.101 --> 37:57.956
So it takes a little longer, it's hard work,

37:57.956 --> 38:01.113
but that is the nature of diplomacy today

38:01.113 --> 38:04.182
in this very complicated world we find ourselves in,

38:04.182 --> 38:06.929
which has far too much conflict going on.

38:06.929 --> 38:09.846
Our mission in life is to calm down

38:10.828 --> 38:13.739
and put an end to some of these conflicts.

38:13.739 --> 38:16.084
As I tell people at the State Department,

38:16.084 --> 38:18.251
I've told others, the first question I ask myself

38:18.251 --> 38:20.823
every morning when I get up, "How can I save

38:20.823 --> 38:22.073
"a life today?"

38:22.741 --> 38:24.555
Because we've got too many lives being lost

38:24.555 --> 38:26.253
in too many conflicts.

38:26.253 --> 38:27.086
Thank you.

38:27.371 --> 38:29.621
(applause)

38:50.359 --> 38:52.232
- Well, that was terrific.

38:52.232 --> 38:53.065
- It was a jog.

38:53.065 --> 38:56.565
- It was terrific and it's good to see you

38:59.436 --> 39:02.269
on a stage explaining the policies

39:02.387 --> 39:05.236
of this administration, I travel a lot around the country

39:05.236 --> 39:07.686
and around the world and it's the questions

39:07.686 --> 39:11.251
on everybody's lips, what is the Trump administration

39:11.251 --> 39:13.001
policy on X, Y and Z?

39:14.294 --> 39:16.973
And you set it out in a very convincing way,

39:16.973 --> 39:20.414
and I must say, without the burden of a prepared text

39:20.414 --> 39:22.824
which really shows your mastery of the issues.

39:22.824 --> 39:24.033
So congratulations.

39:24.033 --> 39:28.033
And it's good to see you out communicating more.

39:28.037 --> 39:30.540
The country and the world wants to hear it

39:30.540 --> 39:32.981
and nobody can do it better than you.

39:32.981 --> 39:36.670
I also want to point out that I think you've put

39:36.670 --> 39:38.964
a stake in the heart of this notion

39:38.964 --> 39:42.012
this administration does not believe in alliances,

39:42.012 --> 39:45.153
that's been plaguing the administration for a while

39:45.153 --> 39:47.706
and I think you made it very clear

39:47.706 --> 39:50.812
that you recognize that alliances are a unique resource

39:50.812 --> 39:53.923
for this country and something that you intend to use

39:53.923 --> 39:55.778
very actively in your diplomacy.

39:55.778 --> 39:56.611
- Indeed.

39:56.804 --> 40:00.971
- The record on ISIS is obviously an impressive one.

40:01.740 --> 40:05.565
We have about 15 minutes before the Secretary has to leave

40:05.565 --> 40:07.455
which is not a lot of time and there are a number

40:07.455 --> 40:09.145
of question that's come in,

40:09.145 --> 40:11.442
so I'm going to try to group some of these questions

40:11.442 --> 40:13.623
together, maybe get three or four of them

40:13.623 --> 40:15.873
and let you go on your way.

40:15.987 --> 40:18.822
Since this is a conference focused on South Korea

40:18.822 --> 40:22.106
and Asia, we should probably start with North Korea.

40:22.106 --> 40:25.478
I have probably 10 questions on that subject.

40:25.478 --> 40:28.769
They center on two things which I'd like to cover

40:28.769 --> 40:32.269
with you, one how optimistic are you about

40:32.998 --> 40:37.165
being able to achieve denuclearization through diplomacy

40:38.905 --> 40:42.001
and, if you're optimistic, then when do we start

40:42.001 --> 40:43.066
the diplomacy?

40:43.066 --> 40:46.214
There's a view out amongst some that, in fact,

40:46.214 --> 40:48.977
the administration is and should be letting

40:48.977 --> 40:51.810
the pressure build on North Korea,

40:51.943 --> 40:54.570
ramping up the sanctions, putting pressure on China

40:54.570 --> 40:56.329
to put more pressure on North Korea,

40:56.329 --> 40:58.633
getting Russia into the tent so they don't

40:58.633 --> 41:02.550
substitute for what China might be cutting off.

41:03.120 --> 41:05.091
And that may be the right approach,

41:05.091 --> 41:08.360
but in your view, when do we get to the negotiations?

41:08.360 --> 41:10.259
And is there any precondition?

41:10.259 --> 41:12.683
And the one, of course, people are concerned about,

41:12.683 --> 41:14.680
North Korea says they will not come to the table

41:14.680 --> 41:16.742
to talk about denuclearization,

41:16.742 --> 41:19.308
our position is that's the only thing worth talking about.

41:19.308 --> 41:21.333
(laughs) How do you get over that?

41:21.333 --> 41:22.828
So can you talk about how

41:22.828 --> 41:25.828
the diplomatic process might unfold?

41:26.237 --> 41:28.605
- Well, first I would say the diplomacy is underway,

41:28.605 --> 41:29.694
it has been underway.

41:29.694 --> 41:32.777
In fact, the entire sanctions regime,

41:33.022 --> 41:36.798
the pressure campaign, that is a piece of diplomacy,

41:36.798 --> 41:40.548
is how to create an understanding on the part

41:40.762 --> 41:44.929
of the North Koreans that the world does not accept this,

41:45.198 --> 41:48.005
so that they understand that if they continue,

41:48.005 --> 41:50.025
the isolation just continues.

41:50.025 --> 41:53.011
So that, in and of itself, is diplomacy

41:53.011 --> 41:57.178
and it was a very deliberate decision taken at the outset

41:57.424 --> 42:01.411
of the policy itself, is that simply picking up the phone

42:01.411 --> 42:05.578
and calling Kim Jong Un back in February and March

42:06.094 --> 42:07.896
when we first were developing this and saying,

42:07.896 --> 42:10.251
"Hey, you know, we really don't like those nuclear tests

42:10.251 --> 42:13.227
"you're doing, can we sit down and talk?"

42:13.227 --> 42:17.322
probably was not going to get anyone to the table.

42:17.322 --> 42:19.362
So I think we took the view,

42:19.362 --> 42:21.960
and we looked at the past efforts, talks,

42:21.960 --> 42:25.128
and the President has touched on this many times,

42:25.128 --> 42:28.674
we've looked at what others tried and failed

42:28.674 --> 42:30.693
and the North Koreans have been masters

42:30.693 --> 42:34.001
at always gaming those talks, and they have never proven

42:34.001 --> 42:36.501
to be a reliable counterparty.

42:36.957 --> 42:40.707
So we decided we were going to undertake this

42:40.866 --> 42:44.783
very intensive campaign of sanctions this time,

42:44.867 --> 42:46.870
but it was only going to be successful

42:46.870 --> 42:48.702
if first we built out very

42:48.702 --> 42:50.942
broad international participation.

42:50.942 --> 42:53.501
So this wasn't just about the United States

42:53.501 --> 42:55.167
and a few other countries,

42:55.167 --> 42:58.777
but it was very broad-based in its participation

42:58.777 --> 43:02.542
and it had to have the active engagement of China

43:02.542 --> 43:05.292
and Russia in a very serious way.

43:06.112 --> 43:08.363
And this really was the beginning of the discussions

43:08.363 --> 43:10.693
with China and much of the decision to go forward

43:10.693 --> 43:14.860
hinged on China's telling us they would participate.

43:15.586 --> 43:17.960
I would tell you, in our judgment, they have

43:17.960 --> 43:21.242
participated, they are fully implementing the sanctions.

43:21.242 --> 43:23.485
That's why it is having an effect.

43:23.485 --> 43:27.652
The President would like to see China cut the oil off.

43:27.729 --> 43:31.195
The last time the North Koreans came to the table,

43:31.195 --> 43:33.507
it was because China cut the oil off.

43:33.507 --> 43:34.975
Three days later, the North Koreans were

43:34.975 --> 43:36.725
at the table talking.

43:36.781 --> 43:39.816
The President feels we're really to that stage,

43:39.816 --> 43:41.902
so he's putting a lot of pressure on the Chinese

43:41.902 --> 43:43.998
to do more with respect to oil.

43:43.998 --> 43:45.998
When do the talks begin?

43:46.114 --> 43:49.197
We've said, from the diplomatic side,

43:50.095 --> 43:54.262
we're ready to talk any time North Korea would like to talk.

43:55.065 --> 43:56.751
and we're ready to have the first meeting

43:56.751 --> 43:59.834
without precondition, let's just meet

44:01.179 --> 44:04.782
and we can talk about the weather if you want.

44:04.782 --> 44:06.652
We can talk about whether is gonna be a square table

44:06.652 --> 44:09.037
or a round table if that's what you're excited about.

44:09.037 --> 44:10.611
(Hadley chuckles)

44:10.611 --> 44:14.528
But can we at least sit down and see each other

44:15.021 --> 44:16.104
face to face?

44:16.482 --> 44:20.565
And then we can begin to lay out a map, a roadmap

44:22.375 --> 44:25.569
of what we might be willing to work towards.

44:25.569 --> 44:26.475
I don't think...

44:26.475 --> 44:29.504
It's not realistic to say we're only going talk

44:29.504 --> 44:32.536
if you come to the table ready to give up your program.

44:32.536 --> 44:34.583
They have too much invested in it.

44:34.583 --> 44:38.599
And the President's very realistic about that, as well.

44:38.599 --> 44:41.254
So it's really about how do you even begin the process

44:41.254 --> 44:43.464
of engagement, because we're dealing with a new leader

44:43.464 --> 44:46.932
in North Korea that no one's ever engaged with.

44:46.932 --> 44:49.403
He clearly is not like his father.

44:49.403 --> 44:50.236
- Yeah.

44:50.236 --> 44:52.986
- Nor is he like his grandfather.

44:53.093 --> 44:55.992
We don't know a whole lot about what it will be like

44:55.992 --> 44:57.575
to engage with him.

44:57.612 --> 45:00.665
I think that's why my expectations of how to start

45:00.665 --> 45:03.906
are really framed around, first I have to know who

45:03.906 --> 45:05.406
my counterpart is.

45:06.036 --> 45:07.819
I have to know something about them.

45:07.819 --> 45:10.906
I have to understand how do they process?

45:10.906 --> 45:12.406
How do they think?

45:12.682 --> 45:15.503
Because getting to an agreement, as all of us know

45:15.503 --> 45:19.315
in negotiations, means a willingness to talk about

45:19.315 --> 45:20.578
a lot of things.

45:20.578 --> 45:22.882
Let's just put a lot of things on the table.

45:22.882 --> 45:25.805
And what do you want to put on the table?

45:25.805 --> 45:28.366
And we'll tell you what we want to put on the table.

45:28.366 --> 45:31.435
The important thing is that we get started.

45:31.435 --> 45:34.070
The only, if there was any condition at all to this,

45:34.070 --> 45:37.683
is that, look, it's gonna be tough to talk if,

45:37.683 --> 45:38.717
in the middle of our talks,

45:38.717 --> 45:41.550
you decide to test another device.

45:41.688 --> 45:43.413
It's gonna be difficult to talk if,

45:43.413 --> 45:44.246
in the middle of our talks,

45:44.246 --> 45:46.561
you decide to fire another one off.

45:46.561 --> 45:48.856
So I think they clearly understand that,

45:48.856 --> 45:52.536
if we're gonna talk, we have to have a period of quiet.

45:52.536 --> 45:54.104
We've gotta have a period of quiet,

45:54.104 --> 45:55.380
or it's gonna be very difficult to have

45:55.380 --> 45:57.193
productive discussions.

45:57.193 --> 46:00.110
So we continue to indicate to them,

46:00.827 --> 46:04.211
we need a period of quiet, you need to tell us

46:04.211 --> 46:07.128
you want to talk, the door is open,

46:08.952 --> 46:13.119
but we'll show up when you tell us you're ready to talk.

46:13.181 --> 46:16.681
- Right, let me ask you a second question.

46:17.068 --> 46:20.485
There's a lot of talk about use of force.

46:23.476 --> 46:25.733
Some people have said the likelihood

46:25.733 --> 46:28.634
of a use of force in a conflict on the peninsula

46:28.634 --> 46:29.884
is at 40%.

46:30.775 --> 46:32.701
I sometimes puckishly say to people,

46:32.701 --> 46:35.691
well, you know that people are talking that way

46:35.691 --> 46:39.501
is an indication of the success of the President's policies

46:39.501 --> 46:41.779
because he's really convinced people

46:41.779 --> 46:44.930
that solving this problem is really important

46:44.930 --> 46:48.582
and it is part of the way of getting attention

46:48.582 --> 46:50.712
of both North Korea and China.

46:50.712 --> 46:53.071
On the other hand, there are a lot of people

46:53.071 --> 46:55.923
who have written risks and concerns.

46:55.923 --> 46:58.814
And a concern, for example, with someone like Kim Jong Un,

46:58.814 --> 47:02.048
who we do not know and who has been pretty isolated,

47:02.048 --> 47:03.453
that he might at some point think

47:03.453 --> 47:06.635
the United States is coming for him militarily

47:06.635 --> 47:07.711
and then preempt.

47:07.711 --> 47:08.544
- Mm-hmm.

47:08.544 --> 47:11.627
- So how do you look at this issue of

47:13.518 --> 47:17.268
the likelihood of military force when we hear

47:17.554 --> 47:20.887
from administration spokesmen that there

47:21.564 --> 47:23.202
are military options?

47:23.202 --> 47:25.535
What are they talking about?

47:25.725 --> 47:29.142
- Well, I think, you know, any successful

47:29.297 --> 47:32.825
diplomatic effort of this nature has to be backed up

47:32.825 --> 47:35.723
with some type of a military alternative.

47:35.723 --> 47:37.890
It can't just be a threat.

47:37.975 --> 47:40.595
It has to be a credible alternative.

47:40.595 --> 47:44.762
The President also requested that from the outset,

47:45.402 --> 47:49.203
that the threat of a nuclear-armed North Korea,

47:49.203 --> 47:50.989
and I know many people have asked the question,

47:50.989 --> 47:54.084
why can't you live with a containment strategy?

47:54.084 --> 47:57.118
You lived with it with Russia, you lived with it with China,

47:57.118 --> 47:59.618
you lived with it with others,

47:59.707 --> 48:02.141
and the difference is that the past behavior

48:02.141 --> 48:06.308
of North Korea is clear to us that they would not just use

48:06.575 --> 48:10.658
the possession of nuclear weapons as a deterrent.

48:10.677 --> 48:14.166
This would become a commercial activity for them,

48:14.166 --> 48:17.014
because we already see elements of it

48:17.014 --> 48:19.159
in the commercial marketplace.

48:19.159 --> 48:20.950
And in the world we live in today,

48:20.950 --> 48:24.380
where our greatest threats are non-state actors,

48:24.380 --> 48:26.462
we simply cannot accept that.

48:26.462 --> 48:30.297
We can't accept a nation that has no established record

48:30.297 --> 48:33.172
of abiding by any kind of international norms.

48:33.172 --> 48:35.906
That certainly was not the case with the Soviet Union,

48:35.906 --> 48:37.871
it's certainly not the case with China,

48:37.871 --> 48:41.343
it's certainly not the case with other countries

48:41.343 --> 48:42.625
that possess nuclear weapons.

48:42.625 --> 48:45.717
These are countries that have a history of abiding

48:45.717 --> 48:48.300
by certain international norms.

48:48.522 --> 48:51.032
North Korea has no such record.

48:51.032 --> 48:53.222
In fact, their record is quite contrary to that.

48:53.222 --> 48:54.503
And that's the reason the President,

48:54.503 --> 48:56.233
and I agree with his assessment,

48:56.233 --> 49:00.400
that we simply cannot accept a nuclear-armed North Korea

49:00.823 --> 49:02.545
and I think that's why it is the policy of

49:02.545 --> 49:04.432
the neighborhood, as well.

49:04.432 --> 49:07.015
So it is important that the diplomatic effort

49:07.015 --> 49:10.745
be backed up by a very credible military alternative.

49:10.745 --> 49:14.412
And yes, there are multiple military options

49:15.079 --> 49:18.851
that have been developed to deal with a failure

49:18.851 --> 49:19.768
on my part.

49:21.851 --> 49:23.566
That's why I say we're gonna work hard

49:23.566 --> 49:26.297
to not fail, and the President wants that,

49:26.297 --> 49:28.832
and he has encouraged our diplomatic efforts.

49:28.832 --> 49:32.528
But I think he also takes his responsibilities

49:32.528 --> 49:35.527
to protect the US and our allies from this kind

49:35.527 --> 49:39.694
of a threat seriously and he intends to ensure that

49:39.771 --> 49:43.319
they do not have a deliverable nuclear weapon

49:43.319 --> 49:45.849
to the shores of the United States.

49:45.849 --> 49:48.595
- We're running out of time and a lot of subjects

49:48.595 --> 49:50.923
we could cover, I'm gonna stay on this one

49:50.923 --> 49:52.935
to try to cover it intensively and give you

49:52.935 --> 49:57.071
two things to respond to and then we'll wrap it up.

49:57.071 --> 49:59.551
One is respect to China, a number of people say

49:59.551 --> 50:02.380
that China is concerned that if it puts too much

50:02.380 --> 50:04.726
pressure on North Korea, the regime will collapse.

50:04.726 --> 50:07.324
That means refugees going across the border

50:07.324 --> 50:10.174
and maybe the United States and South Korean forces

50:10.174 --> 50:12.485
moving into North Korean territory.

50:12.485 --> 50:14.310
And there have been a lot of people who have talked about

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the need for a strategic conversation at high levels

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with China to get an understanding about what would happen

50:22.050 --> 50:25.919
and not happen on the part of China and the United States

50:25.919 --> 50:27.461
in the events of those contingencies.

50:27.461 --> 50:30.036
You've been public about some noes

50:30.036 --> 50:32.185
that I think you've been reassuring.

50:32.185 --> 50:33.960
What are the prospects?

50:33.960 --> 50:36.855
Is the US-China relationship, and I'm not asking

50:36.855 --> 50:40.490
you to go into any details, but is the US-China relationship

50:40.490 --> 50:44.657
at a point where that kind of discussion is possible?

50:45.086 --> 50:47.715
And secondly, we haven't talked about Russia.

50:47.715 --> 50:50.294
Because the more pressure China puts on North Korea

50:50.294 --> 50:52.399
and cuts off resources, it's a potential

50:52.399 --> 50:54.950
that Russia would come in and fill those.

50:54.950 --> 50:57.617
Is Russia on side in this effort

50:57.705 --> 50:59.115
and can you talk a little bit about

50:59.115 --> 51:02.093
the diplomacy with Russia regarding North Korea.

51:02.093 --> 51:04.500
- Well, let me address the Chinese question first.

51:04.500 --> 51:08.177
One of the real values of these new high-level dialogues

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and the diplomatic and strategic dialogue

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that Secretary Mattis and I chair, with our counterparts

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and we actually have included

51:16.338 --> 51:19.303
Joint Chief of Staff Chairman General Dunford

51:19.303 --> 51:22.455
and his counterparts from China, as well.

51:22.455 --> 51:25.955
These are the subjects of these dialogues.

51:27.223 --> 51:29.748
For us to gain an understanding of,

51:29.748 --> 51:33.596
first how credible do we think the Chinese concern is

51:33.596 --> 51:37.513
about a mass flow of refugees across the border

51:38.522 --> 51:41.355
in the event of a regime collapse.

51:41.915 --> 51:46.082
China is taking steps to prepare for such an eventuality.

51:46.295 --> 51:49.027
I think it is something that they can manage.

51:49.027 --> 51:51.817
I don't think the threat is as significant,

51:51.817 --> 51:53.817
perhaps, others view it.

51:54.497 --> 51:56.604
I don't want to be dismissive of it,

51:56.604 --> 51:59.068
but it's not an unmanageable situation

51:59.068 --> 52:02.985
and they already are taking preparatory actions

52:03.064 --> 52:04.564
for such an event.

52:05.809 --> 52:08.589
We also have had conversations about,

52:08.589 --> 52:11.135
in the event that something happened,

52:11.135 --> 52:13.622
could happen internal to North Korea,

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it might be nothing that we from the outside initiate,

52:18.129 --> 52:20.910
that if that unleashed some kind of instability

52:20.910 --> 52:23.541
the most important thing to us would be

52:23.541 --> 52:27.110
securing those nuclear weapons they've already developed

52:27.110 --> 52:30.256
and ensuring that nothing falls into the hands

52:30.256 --> 52:32.195
of people we would not want to have it.

52:32.195 --> 52:34.231
We've had conversations with the Chinese about

52:34.231 --> 52:36.148
how might that be done.

52:36.210 --> 52:37.043
- Mm-hmm.

52:37.938 --> 52:40.739
- The four noes that I articulated in that first trip

52:40.739 --> 52:42.822
to Asia were intentional.

52:44.394 --> 52:46.177
That we do not seek regime change,

52:46.177 --> 52:48.265
we do not seek regime collapse,

52:48.265 --> 52:50.780
we do not seek an accelerated unification

52:50.780 --> 52:54.079
of the Korean Peninsula, we do not seek a reason

52:54.079 --> 52:56.761
to send our own military forces north

52:56.761 --> 52:58.666
of the Demilitarized Zone.

52:58.666 --> 53:01.268
We have had conversations that if something happened

53:01.268 --> 53:04.018
and we had to go across the line,

53:04.105 --> 53:08.019
we have given the Chinese assurances we would go back

53:08.019 --> 53:11.219
and retreat back to the south of the 38th parallel

53:11.219 --> 53:14.713
when whatever the conditions that caused that to happen.

53:14.713 --> 53:17.798
That is our commitment that we've made to them.

53:17.798 --> 53:20.511
Our only objective is to denuclearize

53:20.511 --> 53:23.247
the Korean Peninsula and that is all.

53:23.247 --> 53:26.457
And out of that, and out of these discussions,

53:26.457 --> 53:28.639
perhaps we can create a different future

53:28.639 --> 53:30.335
for the North Korean people because the one they have

53:30.335 --> 53:31.168
right now-

53:31.470 --> 53:32.303
- Is grim.

53:32.303 --> 53:33.324
- Is pretty dismal.

53:33.324 --> 53:35.638
As to Russia's participation, Russia has been

53:35.638 --> 53:39.418
very supportive of the UN Security Council resolutions,

53:39.418 --> 53:40.909
they could have vetoed them.

53:40.909 --> 53:42.495
They could have blocked them, but they didn't.

53:42.495 --> 53:45.242
I think on the sanctions implementation,

53:45.242 --> 53:47.159
it's not as clear to us

53:47.546 --> 53:50.713
how fully those are being implemented.

53:50.853 --> 53:53.478
We know that there are some violations,

53:53.478 --> 53:55.478
they're not hard to see.

53:56.127 --> 53:58.520
We see what they are and we, in particular,

53:58.520 --> 54:02.599
I've had many conversations with Foreign Minister Lavrov

54:02.599 --> 54:04.837
about specific issues that we see,

54:04.837 --> 54:08.504
that we would ask that they close those off.

54:09.768 --> 54:12.442
Forced labor is one, in particular, there are

54:12.442 --> 54:15.919
a large number, something around 35,000 North Koreans

54:15.919 --> 54:17.907
working in Russia today.

54:17.907 --> 54:21.717
Russia has a labor shortage, they have economic development

54:21.717 --> 54:24.644
in the east in particular that they're undertaking,

54:24.644 --> 54:28.334
so I understand why they have an economic stake in this,

54:28.334 --> 54:31.857
but it is also undermining the effectiveness

54:31.857 --> 54:32.722
of the sanctions.

54:32.722 --> 54:35.389
So, we do talk very specifically

54:35.520 --> 54:37.710
with our Russian counterparts about what we ask

54:37.710 --> 54:38.793
that they do.

54:39.009 --> 54:42.313
By and large, at the Security Council again,

54:42.313 --> 54:44.722
they've been very supportive of the sanctions.

54:44.722 --> 54:47.732
They've voiced their view of how effective

54:47.732 --> 54:49.511
they think those may be,

54:49.511 --> 54:52.094
but we do need Russia's support

54:52.608 --> 54:55.770
and when we get to the point that we're actually going

54:55.770 --> 54:57.820
to start solving this problem,

54:57.820 --> 55:01.048
we're going to need everyone in the neighborhood, I call it.

55:01.048 --> 55:01.881
- Yeah.

55:01.881 --> 55:03.022
- You know, it's gonna be important obviously,

55:03.022 --> 55:05.040
first and foremost, our allies in

55:05.040 --> 55:07.354
the Republic of Korea, but it's gonna be important

55:07.354 --> 55:10.854
to Japan, Russia, China, everyone is there

55:11.456 --> 55:15.456
to help ensure success around a diplomatic talk.

55:15.566 --> 55:18.804
- Right, we've come to the end of our program.

55:18.804 --> 55:21.426
I want to thank our Korean participants and partner

55:21.426 --> 55:24.815
the Korea Foundation, and the Atlantic Council, of course,

55:24.815 --> 55:28.872
and especially Dr. Miyeon Oh for her brilliant work

55:28.872 --> 55:30.912
in setting all this up today.

55:30.912 --> 55:32.419
I want to thank you all for coming

55:32.419 --> 55:34.998
and please join me in thanking Secretary Tillerson

55:34.998 --> 55:36.393
for being with us this afternoon.

55:36.393 --> 55:37.226
(applause)

55:37.226 --> 55:38.059
Thank you.

55:38.059 --> 55:40.309
(applause)

55:44.737 --> 55:46.875
- [Man] Everybody could please remain in your seats.

55:46.875 --> 55:49.292
Remain in your seats, please.

