WEBVTT

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No. It's all right. So congratulations.So all of you you wind

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a sea in a 's stamina word forum that we have that same the

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best for last um it's really my honorand privilege to introduce

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or keynote speaker antennae goingto tony it is be bad debt the

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secretary of state these they haveheld that position since january

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of 2000 fifteen.

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Part of that as many of you know hewas assistant to the president

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and principal deputy national securityadviser and what that

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means is that he actually orchestratedray and a day to day that

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japanese committee process. The roleof engine room of the inter

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agency process that developed optionsand decisions for an a president.

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A prior to that in the first timein a baum administration.

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He served as deputy assistant to thepresident and as vice president

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Biden special security at pfizer.Um before that he was six years

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on capitol hill said he knows thatthe executive branch and to

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the hell side of things says stemsdemocratic staff director

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of the senate foreign relations committee.

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Um he also search in the clan administrationand I see it and

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this the state department um. I firstthat's an attorney at CES.

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I asked the other thing tank.

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In san.

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I'm Annie is analysts Stratus careeras saying a lawyer and journalist

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before that but.

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You know the thing that really standsout for me about tony buying

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can it is that he is one of themost a thoughtful insightful

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and decent people in all of washington.

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Um this is someone who is a greatexample of E. No ego never

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drama of model of public service.He has um he is the constant

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public service servants um the hereally wins the stamina award

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in this administration having beenthere from the beginning and

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it's just a real delight an honorto hear from him today.

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So please join me in welcoming thedeputy SEC taste a tiny like. Him.

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You so very much michelle umand I have to say that.

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Being incredibly time worse that youjust up the dressed in my direction.

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Up are pretty much precisely whatI would say about you a um

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you've been um for so many years nowone of the most extraordinary

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police i've had the privilegeto serve with.

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And it is a great pleasureto be here today.

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Um. I really do appreciate thekind. Welcome and Even kinder

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decision to slot my remarks effortPowell called 27teen in the arms.

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An agenda for the next. Administration.

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I always knew they would come mighthave to fall of they sold

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was leaving.

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I just thought I had another 18. Months.

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Actually up.

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The following trade maceysympathise with.

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Allen rossi.

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Uh and for those of you don't rememberon rossi. That's actually

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exactly the point.

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They were the comedy duo called theBeatles on ed Sullivan show.

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Uh but it's a great pleasures speciallyto be with everyone is

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seen as an among very goodfriends and colleagues.

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Uh there's been a premium aboutbetween see mass in the obama

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administration over talent and onceagain seen S appears to be one.

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But that's what all right becauseit makes a little bit of room

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for the rest of us.

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But in all seriousness um.

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Seen asked in a very shortperiod of time.

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Has become.

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Truly a model among its peers.

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And and valuable reservoir of goodcounsel attribute insight.

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No more so than one eventsin the world can found us.

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Or the flow of information threatens.

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To overwhelm us.

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We or Franks in the show and the outstandingteam here for Fontainebleau

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build a center dedicated.

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To helping us make senseof our world today.

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The wh order and disorder.

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The risks and the. Opportunities.

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And there's no denying that thereis a lot to try to make sense

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of well just a few days ago.

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Was world refugee day.

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The ticker tape.

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Of searing new talents.

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If all of the refugees in the worldcomprise the population of

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one country it would be the 20 fourthlargest country in the world.

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One in every 122 people.

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As fled their homes for more.

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Violence or persecution.

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Risking their lives on rickety boatscrawling to park were offenses

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to escape the sos period.

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Or raising a generation of children.

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Intense and under carpets.

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Nearly 60 million human reminders.

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Of the world's. History.

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It certainly feels like we're living.

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Through more dangerous time.

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That any time in recent memory.

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As we can time with threats fromrising season emerging diseases.

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Sophisticated cyber attacks.

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Niles terrorists.

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And again this morning.

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Those stating attacks in Maltawill place around the world.

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Only underscores that point.

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And it can seem.

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It's a moments in from some perspectives.

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As if we've entered a new era.

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Of cataclysmic change.

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And. Uncertainty.

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Those who see the world a slate oftenassert that america's responses

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winter retreat.

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To advocate are responsible in italy.

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To shelve our unique capabilitiesto influence change.

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I think that assertion.

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Bears close scrutiny.

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Because it is Wall.

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In D.

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I would argue that the United Stateshas never been more engaged

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in more places than atthis moment in time.

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And that our leadership is producingpowerful and positive results.

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Helping speed when the whims ofprogress and temper some of the

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dios of turmoil.

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Just think about the last18 months alone.

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American global leadership.

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Has mobilized countriesto confine Weisel.

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And the goal of.

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We've revitalize knitters committedto the fence its own members.

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Relic european alliesto support ukraine.

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And penalized russia forits actions in ukraine.

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We deepened our engagementwith the asia pacific.

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A region that increasingly isembracing the connection.

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Between good governance stable growthand long term stability.

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Last month I visited vietnam indonesiaand myanmar countries

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averse for is in the benefits of economicand democratic progress.

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Within was to china.

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In the effort to mitigate climatechanges this week.

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We held the seventh us china's she shedid not like dial up an opportunity.

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To four to wear is a corporation.

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Even as we deal for greatlywith our differences.

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And we're coming closer everyday.

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To a major new trade agreementthat passes and a partnership

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which if that she.

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Will cover 40% of world unique hewith a more level playing field

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for American dozens higher statusfor labor the environment an

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intellectual property.

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We carried our relationshipwith india to new heights.

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Forging landmark partnerships andclean energy higher education

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defense cooperation in january onepresident obama to the republic

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day celebrations in new Delhi.

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As prime minister motifs honoredguest. He was the first American

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president to do so.

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And we're charting a new coursein our relations with cuba.

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Helping the people of colombiasecure lasting peace.

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And forging new would equal partnershipsacross the americans.

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And we're working with leaders ofcentral america to come about

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the corruption crime and trafficking.

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That affect our own security.

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We've negotiated of course aninterim agreement with a rat.

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The pros and in some places rollback its nuclear program with

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unprecedented expect un's.

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But the possibility of a comprehensivesolution now before us.

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We fell competing Afghan politicalblocs of what civil war and

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a sheep the first ever peacefuldemocratic transition in that

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country's history.

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We hosted the first ever usafrica leaders' summit.

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To build a relationship someof our governments.

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And with the private sector.

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In each of these cases.

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Um I like to do a little forest from.

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And is based on the movieis a wonderful life.

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We all know what happened to thatfor false when george bailey

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was out of the picture.

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And I think it's self-evidentwhere the world would be.

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Without American leadershipof nice challenges.

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And so many more.

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For me the question is a not andindeed it's never been whether

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america's leading.

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A question is how we're leaving.

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By what means.

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And to what dance.

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That is the proper subjectfor debate and discussion.

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And I was to just 13 basic principles.

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On which we must groundour leadership.

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First. We must lead with purplish.

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To ensure the security of our countryits citizens our allies

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and partners to promote strong. Youwas economy to a Vassar values.

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And to shaken international work.The pollsters peace security

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and prosper.

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Second. We mostly from aposition of strength.

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With on rival military might.

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The dynamic economy.

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And the un-backed strifeof our human resources.

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For are.

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We must leave by the powers Apple'swoes example of our power.

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Lifting our citizensrole in our economy.

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And living our values here at home.

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With today's supreme court decisionon same sex marriage.

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We can be prout that we'vedone just that.

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Force. We should leave with capablepartners. Because we can

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best advance our interests andan interconnected world.

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One others are working with uswhile recognizing that america

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and our leadership is often necessary.

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To mobilize collective action.

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Fit. We must lead with all theinstruments of American power

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out with determine diplomacy.

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And ever ready military.

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Our economic might and that powerfulattraction of American innovation

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science education and culture.

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And finally.

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We must lead with a sense of perspective.

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That Mary's confidencehumility.

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Strain. And was.

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The strategic environment in whichwe're operating is more fluid.

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And fraught with complexity.Than ever before.

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Power among States a shifted withnew entrants and asked prince

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to the rice to the majors.

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Power shifting bow low and be on thenation state requiring governments

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to be more accountable the sostate and non-state actors.

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From the mayor's of mega citiesto the private sector.

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The super empowered groups and individuals.

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And of course the growing interdependenceof the global economy.

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And the rapid pace of change or wakingpeople groups and governments

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an unprecedented ways in center liesin new forms of cooperation.

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But also creating share. Vulnerabilities.

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All of these changes are happeningwithin a system of international

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economic political sociala norms and institutions.

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That of helpers are peace and fosterchris Perry for seven decades.

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International law.

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Maritime rooms and bernal protectionisttrade regulations any

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russian laws child labor laws humanrights safeguards than opera

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for issue regime public health systemsinternational financial

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institutions un peacekeepingcivil society.

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These norms and institutionsgive life.

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To a global war.

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Which provides still today.

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The best and sometimes only means toprevent conflict energized progress.

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And allow countries to resolvediplomatically and peacefully.

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Their differences.

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But over the last decades.

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Are international system astruggled to keep pace.

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Has made you know economies emerge.

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Technology advanced citizens of questionthe status quo spoilers

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have flexed their muscles.

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Our challenge is to adaptable border.

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Issued this show sentry ball torturein that the fundamentals

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of its construction.

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The rules and norms that principles. Wedepend on for security prosperity.

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Me the highest standards.

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In the face of these challenges.

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The United States remains clear eyed aboutour role and our responsibility.

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We know that we cannot solveall lowers palms.

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And we can I fully solveany of them alone.

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But we're seizing americans uniquein Pasadena mobilized has

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common threats.

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And leave the internationalcommunity to me.

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That's the case in eastern ukraine.

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Where the United States and ourallies remain firmly United in

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our support for ukraine and ourcommitment to hold Moscow to

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full implementation of the misc agreements.

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And is the case in thesouth china sea.

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Where china's mitigation large scalewanna re commission products

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that threatened peace and stability.

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The United States takes no positionon the merits of competing

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sovereignty claims insouth china sea.

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But we have a strong interest inhow those claims are pursued

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and a preserving freedom of navigationsustaining peace and stability.

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And upholding internationallaw and norms.

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The way for is for china and all claimantsto freeze their reformation

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activities and resolve their differencesin accordance with the

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boom of what.

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In bold eastern ukraine andthe south china sea.

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We're witnessing efforts to unilaterallyand coarsely change

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the status quo trans russians thatthe United States and our

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allies and partners standUnited against.

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In a greater middle east where whena see something entirely different.

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A period of tectonic change thatis brought the regional water.

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The brink of collapse.

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We see in the challenges to domesticorder within States and

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the greater middle east.

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The rise of new constituencies.

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The a prominent voice is that a man'sfor greater freedom and opportunity.

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In of course this can bea welcome development.

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But it can also produce a violent counterreaction from the old order.

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As for example in syria.

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With this long death spiral of violence.

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Or When the old ordersdeposed as an libya.

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It can produce a vacuumfilled by Stratus.

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And there's another dark aside tothe challenge to order within

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States in the middle east.

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The weakening of state authoritythe wrote in order emergence

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of on govern space a corporation weaponsand technology the surfacing

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or resurfacing.

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A sectarian isn't and religious extremism.

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We see it to him a challenge for amongStates the growth of regional

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rivalries the intensification theface off between Saudi Arabia

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to Ram the spread of dangerousproxy wars.

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We see it in the interestsin the struggle.

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Between violence tennis and the vastmajority of moderate mussels.

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And the contests for leadershipbetween establish an powers and

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political Islam often representedby the Muslim brotherhood.

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And we see much of thiscome together in iraq.

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Where the late has been lifted fromdecades of dictatorship war

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are far nomination.

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Allowing many these actorsto collide head up.

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With a very fragile effort.

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To build a more inclusive representativegovernment.

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One of the most poisonous productsof all this churn has been

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the alienation from their respectivegovernments of a large segments

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of the sunni community. Some 20million of whom live between

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Baghdad and. Damascus.

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In the face of such widespreadthe stabilization.

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It is tempting to walkinggrand American solution.

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That opposes order.

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And transforms the region overnight.

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We can and we should debate.

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The nuances of the variousproposals that we here.

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But we cannot deny the lessons.We've learned over a decade is

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sacrifice about the effectivenessand sustainability of large

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scale open-ended military interventionin the middle east.

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We need to recognize that historictransitions another way the

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middle east.

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That are not about us.

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And cannot be fullycontrolled by ass.

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The United States did not put onemillion people intruder square.

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We did not create the Arch brain.

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Or even the democratic aspirations.That in a bottle.

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But while of ensign policemanIP about us.

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Effects. They affect our partnersthey affect our interests and

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carefully guided American leadership.

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More than that of any other nation.

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Can mitigate the worst of the risks.

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And make the most.

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Of rewards.

17:27.430 --> 17:29.390
Even in this chaotic anddangerous environment.

17:30.020 --> 17:32.670
We will secure our core interestsand build the capacity capable

17:32.670 --> 17:34.760
partners to tackle their own problems.

17:35.270 --> 17:36.240
With our strong.

17:36.830 --> 17:37.870
But smart support.

17:39.610 --> 17:42.950
Peace and stability annalisa cannot be imposed from above from

17:42.950 --> 17:45.060
the outside or by force.

17:45.810 --> 17:47.530
They need to be build from within.

17:48.420 --> 17:49.860
By governments that are inclusive.

17:50.580 --> 17:54.260
Accountable in their citizens andinterconnected with the world.

17:55.130 --> 17:57.720
Military might alone canget government there.

17:58.290 --> 17:59.920
If we parts local accommodation.

18:00.700 --> 18:03.210
Including increasingly the decentralisation of power.

18:04.100 --> 18:06.130
Two-incher the freedomdignity and security.

18:07.010 --> 18:07.920
For all citizens.

18:09.100 --> 18:12.930
In iraq we partnered with prime ministerbody to fight the scourge

18:12.930 --> 18:13.980
of why solar dash.

18:14.840 --> 18:17.520
I supporting his efforts to rebuildin the form Iraqi security

18:17.520 --> 18:19.460
forces together with ourcoalition partners.

18:20.150 --> 18:21.930
We're training and equippingthese forces.

18:22.470 --> 18:25.340
Devising the leaders providingcritical or support.

18:26.210 --> 18:29.890
And expanding recruitment is speciallyfrom among sunni communities

18:30.270 --> 18:33.370
who will fight for their communitiesfor that pounds.

18:33.930 --> 18:34.910
And for their lives.

18:35.940 --> 18:36.810
But to succeed.

18:37.550 --> 18:39.550
We have to address thepolitical dimension.

18:40.420 --> 18:41.120
Iraq yes.

18:41.700 --> 18:45.880
The they sunni shia kurt orother have to be condensed.

18:46.430 --> 18:49.550
But the state they are been afterbeing asked to fight for will

18:49.550 --> 18:52.520
stand up for their rights in equitiesthat they can advance their

18:52.520 --> 18:53.790
interests more effectively.

18:54.350 --> 18:58.110
As citizens of iraq and a supportcan suffice will were rat.

18:59.660 --> 19:03.090
By mr. Body compose a vision of whatwe call functioning federalism.

19:03.890 --> 19:07.740
Which basically means empoweringlocal communities to make their

19:07.740 --> 19:08.690
own decisions.

19:09.780 --> 19:11.660
After decades of repressive dictatorship.

19:12.690 --> 19:16.710
All ethnicity it's and religions needto feel that they represented.

19:17.250 --> 19:18.740
By the nation they call home.

19:20.450 --> 19:23.680
Across the middle east we try toapply this approach to empower

19:23.680 --> 19:24.700
capable partners.

19:25.310 --> 19:27.850
And secure our core interests.We've intensified our security

19:27.850 --> 19:30.900
cooperation with our allies andpartners with preserve maritime

19:30.900 --> 19:32.600
security inch or the control energy.

19:33.410 --> 19:36.910
In assemble a coalition of 62 countriesand organizations to

19:36.910 --> 19:37.520
deal with Doc.

19:38.570 --> 19:40.760
And we taken steps to shorethat around is not.

19:41.580 --> 19:45.420
Under any circumstances allowedto attain a nuclear weapon.

19:47.340 --> 19:51.190
This last point is that the top ofour minds as we near the june

19:51.190 --> 19:51.990
thirtieth deadline.

19:53.250 --> 19:54.680
We don't have a comprehensive delia.

19:55.340 --> 19:56.390
And we may not get what.

19:57.200 --> 19:58.790
If we can get to wherewe need to be.

19:59.400 --> 20:00.650
On some of the core issues.

20:02.200 --> 20:04.710
But we continue to believe thatthe very best way to interact

20:04.710 --> 20:05.700
and having a nuclear weapon.

20:06.300 --> 20:08.160
Is to a verified negotiated agreement.

20:08.900 --> 20:12.850
The resolve the international community'sconcerns about a a

20:12.850 --> 20:14.800
Ram and as a practical matter.

20:15.800 --> 20:18.590
Makes it impossible for iran todevelop the fissile material

20:18.590 --> 20:19.170
for weapon.

20:19.720 --> 20:21.220
Without us being able to see it.

20:22.310 --> 20:22.920
And to stop.

20:24.540 --> 20:28.160
The deal will working toward willclose each over rats for pathways

20:28.330 --> 20:30.180
to antennae enough fissilematerial for weapons.

20:30.880 --> 20:34.040
The radiant pathways of the Thompsonfor about the plutonium

20:34.040 --> 20:36.430
pathway for racks heavywater actor that iraq.

20:37.430 --> 20:39.400
And a potential covert pathway.

20:40.370 --> 20:42.250
The can all always that plays.

20:43.040 --> 20:46.380
Any comprehensive arrangement mustinclude exceptional constraints

20:46.410 --> 20:49.770
on Iran's nuclear program an extraordinarymonitoring and to

20:49.770 --> 20:52.940
suppress fancy measures that maximizethe international community's

20:52.940 --> 20:57.080
ability to detect any attempts byrandom break out whether overtly.

20:57.650 --> 20:58.080
A covert.

20:59.540 --> 21:01.110
Let me quickly address to conclude.

21:01.750 --> 21:04.010
Somewhat concerns that are floatingaround about the deal the

21:04.010 --> 21:04.720
we're working toward.

21:05.340 --> 21:08.630
Many of which are based mush onemyth and they are a fact.

21:09.530 --> 21:13.880
First. The deal for workingto achieve will not expire.

21:15.090 --> 21:17.340
There will not be a so-called sunset.

21:18.300 --> 21:20.700
Different reported to the dealwould have different to ration

21:20.730 --> 21:25.040
its but some Including Iran's commitmentto all of its obligations

21:25.040 --> 21:27.870
under the nonproliferation treatyincluding the elevation not

21:27.870 --> 21:31.080
to build a nuclear weapon as wellas the top access to modern

21:31.080 --> 21:34.390
provisions of the additional protocolthose would continue in

21:34.390 --> 21:35.020
turpitude it.

21:36.410 --> 21:37.170
By contrast.

21:38.040 --> 21:39.170
In the absence of an agreement.

21:39.770 --> 21:42.450
Iran's obligations under the interimagreement that we preach

21:42.480 --> 21:45.660
the so-called fight plan of actionto stop Iran's nuclear program

21:45.660 --> 21:46.220
in its tracks.

21:47.200 --> 21:48.840
Those with sunset immediately.

21:49.490 --> 21:53.270
Men. Rackets the toward anindustrial scale program.

21:53.890 --> 21:57.830
With tens of thousands of centrifugeswith no inspections and

21:57.830 --> 21:59.700
no visibility into its program.

22:01.160 --> 22:05.700
Second. This deal would provide suchextensive lulls of transparency.

22:06.330 --> 22:09.590
That different fails to comply with theinternational Indies obligations.

22:10.280 --> 22:11.240
We will know about it.

22:11.770 --> 22:14.680
And we will know a first the rightaway giving us plenty of time

22:14.680 --> 22:16.970
to respond diplomatically or if necessary.

22:17.690 --> 22:18.540
By other means.

22:19.390 --> 22:23.030
Most of the sanctions would besuspended not ended for a long

22:23.030 --> 22:27.150
creative time with provisions to snap-backautomatically prefer emanates.

22:27.740 --> 22:28.560
On its commitments.

22:29.990 --> 22:30.530
There are.

22:31.470 --> 22:34.450
We will only agree to with theyield that guarantees the I in

22:34.450 --> 22:38.840
a timely access to what ever arainy insights are required to

22:38.840 --> 22:43.100
for five in Iran's program is exclusivelypeaceful. Period.

22:44.430 --> 22:49.230
Force. There is simply no betteroption to prevent iran from

22:49.230 --> 22:52.470
obtaining material for nuclear weaponand a comprehensive agreement

22:52.950 --> 22:56.180
that nice the foreigners that weset and announced a most all.

22:57.800 --> 23:00.780
Just like the joint plan of actionany agreement will be subject

23:01.120 --> 23:05.170
to legitimate scrutiny from ourcitizens from our commerce from

23:05.170 --> 23:06.230
our closest partners.

23:07.630 --> 23:11.740
We will not agree to any deal thatcannot withstand. That's critic.

23:13.190 --> 23:13.900
The same time.

23:15.110 --> 23:17.610
Any opponents of the agreementif it's reach.

23:18.630 --> 23:20.850
We'll have an obligation totell the American people.

23:21.220 --> 23:23.050
Exactly what they would do differently.

23:23.750 --> 23:25.390
And how they would get it done.

23:27.430 --> 23:30.870
It's a fantasy to believe thata ramble simply capitulate to

23:30.870 --> 23:31.690
our demands.

23:32.220 --> 23:34.990
If we've ratchet up the pressureeven more through sanctions.

23:35.990 --> 23:36.700
After all.

23:37.320 --> 23:40.650
A ran suffered much greater deprivationeach during the war with iraq.

23:41.580 --> 23:44.940
And despite intensified internationalpressure over the last year's.

23:45.520 --> 23:48.550
Iran one from just a hundred and50 centrifuges in 2000 and two.

23:49.140 --> 23:51.850
To 19 foul before we reachthe interim agreement.

23:53.260 --> 23:56.120
Moore's of likely that our internationalpartners without them

23:56.150 --> 23:58.090
our sanctions cannot work.

23:59.090 --> 24:02.170
It's not likely they would go alongwith such a plan they signed

24:02.170 --> 24:04.540
on the sanctions in order to geta ran to the negotiating table.

24:05.150 --> 24:08.320
To conclude an agreement that meetsour shared security interests.

24:08.920 --> 24:12.730
Not the force iran to abandonthe peaceful nuclear program.

24:13.670 --> 24:15.710
Up until now we kept othercountries on board.

24:16.370 --> 24:19.370
Despite the economic loss thatit presents to many of them.

24:20.110 --> 24:22.940
In large part because they're convincefor serious about reaching

24:23.080 --> 24:25.710
a diplomatic solution ifthey lose that belief.

24:26.680 --> 24:28.940
The United States not a rat.

24:29.550 --> 24:31.570
Could be isolated andthe sanctions regime.

24:32.300 --> 24:33.030
Could collapse.

24:34.730 --> 24:37.910
To those would prefer to take militaryaction now against around

24:37.910 --> 24:39.560
without going the lastdiplomatic mile.

24:40.530 --> 24:42.870
They need to consider. The factthe such response to destroy

24:42.870 --> 24:44.260
the international siphons coalition.

24:44.880 --> 24:48.230
And only setback Iran's programby a few years at which point

24:48.280 --> 24:51.240
the ran likely would very a newprogram deep underground.

24:51.810 --> 24:53.600
And speed cordon actual weapons.

24:55.520 --> 24:57.740
With a comprehensive agreement thatwe're working to conclude.

24:58.330 --> 25:01.340
We have a chance to itshe much much more.

25:03.080 --> 25:05.590
But reaching a comprehensive dealwill not alter our commitment

25:05.820 --> 25:07.090
to support those inner ran.

25:07.620 --> 25:09.880
Demanding greater respect for universalhuman rights and the

25:09.880 --> 25:10.370
rule of law.

25:11.280 --> 25:14.130
And we continue to insist theirran release cited other Benny.

25:14.630 --> 25:18.610
Amir act body tracing resigned andhelpless five robert Levinson.

25:19.980 --> 25:23.030
And reaching a comprehensive dealwill not alter our commitment.

25:23.690 --> 25:26.800
The fighting Iran's efforts to spreadinstability and support terrorism.

25:27.410 --> 25:31.070
That will not change withor without the deal.

25:32.400 --> 25:33.760
But around without a nuclear weapon.

25:34.400 --> 25:37.190
Will be less embolden to take the stabilizingactivities in the region.

25:37.760 --> 25:40.600
It will reduce the pressure forregional nuclear arms race and

25:40.600 --> 25:42.700
strengthen the internationalnonproliferation regime.

25:43.250 --> 25:45.050
In short it's a critical step.

25:45.630 --> 25:46.840
To greater global security.

25:47.490 --> 25:50.850
For the United States and forour partners in the. Region.

25:54.410 --> 25:58.650
Having now been in service for six inour ears is michelle pointed out.

26:00.080 --> 26:02.410
I instruct again and again via.

26:03.020 --> 26:04.530
How one snapchat.

26:05.900 --> 26:06.610
One tweak.

26:07.610 --> 26:08.450
One headline.

26:09.130 --> 26:09.820
One article.

26:11.040 --> 26:13.120
Captures our attention indiverse are focused.

26:13.820 --> 26:14.690
Come the moving picture.

26:16.840 --> 26:20.660
Heightened by an almost insatiableappetite for around the clock use.

26:21.310 --> 26:23.940
The snapshots have an outsizedinfluence over our perception

26:23.940 --> 26:24.450
of the world.

26:25.970 --> 26:26.700
Telling us.

26:27.460 --> 26:29.810
Whether we like it or not atalmost any given moment.

26:30.590 --> 26:31.710
Every hour every minute.

26:32.360 --> 26:33.800
Of the dangers that we face.

26:34.410 --> 26:35.590
Of the risks of action.

26:36.270 --> 26:37.710
And the consequences of inaction.

26:39.550 --> 26:43.210
But when you step back and try togain a little bit of perspective.

26:43.980 --> 26:45.710
And consider also the moving picture.

26:46.380 --> 26:49.570
There is something that is extraordinarilyconsistent and that

26:49.570 --> 26:50.690
emerges from looking at.

26:51.700 --> 26:52.880
In times of crisis.

26:53.510 --> 26:56.920
We're calamity it is the United Statesthat the world turns to first.

26:57.970 --> 26:58.660
And all what's.

26:59.920 --> 27:02.200
We're about the leader firstchoice because war is right.

27:03.330 --> 27:04.760
Or because re interesting lights.

27:05.480 --> 27:07.810
War because we can dictate outcomes.

27:09.240 --> 27:12.180
It's because we strive to the bestof our ability to a lot our

27:12.180 --> 27:15.020
actions with our principles andthe because American leadership

27:15.020 --> 27:17.190
has a unique abilityto mobilize others.

27:17.840 --> 27:19.310
And to make a difference.

27:20.510 --> 27:21.400
Seventy years ago.

27:21.910 --> 27:24.670
That leadership produce victoryin world war and then build a

27:24.670 --> 27:27.670
global order dedicated to the peacestability and prosperity.

27:28.340 --> 27:29.000
Of every nation.

27:29.550 --> 27:32.500
Today the leadership remains vitalto protect and adapts bed

27:32.500 --> 27:33.470
international system.

27:34.110 --> 27:35.570
To reflect the timesthat we live it.

27:36.540 --> 27:37.920
To navigate the turmoil.

27:38.650 --> 27:40.680
And to reap the rewardsthat are there.

27:42.270 --> 27:42.960
It cannot.

27:43.760 --> 27:45.890
It must not be our responsibilityalong.

27:46.650 --> 27:48.520
What it is one we will seize.

27:49.050 --> 27:51.390
Leaving is always from aposition of strength.

27:52.370 --> 27:53.470
With cable partners.

27:54.110 --> 27:55.790
With all the instrumentsAmerican power.

27:56.490 --> 27:57.720
With the power of our example.

27:58.670 --> 28:00.420
And with a harder and sense of perspective.

28:01.210 --> 28:02.440
With our eyes cast forward.

28:03.170 --> 28:03.840
In our spirit.

28:04.400 --> 28:04.830
Ever hope.

28:05.870 --> 28:06.790
Thank you very. Much.

28:19.910 --> 28:21.280
As a wonderful.

28:22.180 --> 28:27.000
Surged toward the world and they'rea very clear to tuition has

28:27.240 --> 28:30.020
been the administration's policyand many many points.

28:30.710 --> 28:36.020
Um I wanted to key off a littlepolling that we do that I'm the

28:36.020 --> 28:39.630
for your rise to and the questionwas something on lines of.

28:40.460 --> 28:44.970
What should the next administrationum. What reaching the world

28:44.970 --> 28:49.330
should get more attention and therewas this huge bar nothing

28:49.330 --> 28:51.960
is 48 almost 50% said a shot.

28:52.580 --> 28:56.960
Um and and we're we're kick talking themore the barcap to the growing.

28:57.500 --> 29:02.610
Um. And in a prison of a bummerannounced early Dalits janet.

29:02.610 --> 29:07.280
She have it it recounts um. Ifthe administration is actually

29:07.280 --> 29:11.570
successful in getting sheepy peanutwill be a huge uh when.

29:12.190 --> 29:17.170
I'm with you we do see a sermonshown china would really I'm

29:17.520 --> 29:20.920
taking a member of unilateral actionsto try to change the status

29:20.920 --> 29:24.950
quo particularly in the mirror timingcan you talk a little bit

29:24.950 --> 29:30.670
about the next 18 months and howyou our thinking about which.

29:31.190 --> 29:35.490
I'm responding to china's more assertivebehavior in the their

29:35.520 --> 29:36.670
time at the end of the chicken.

29:37.670 --> 29:40.320
Truman east money saying one thingat the outset which is I would

29:40.480 --> 29:43.990
mark the dream of where the paulwas driving me the conversation

29:44.020 --> 29:44.600
and I think.

29:45.530 --> 29:48.400
One of the things that's up thatI'm proudest of what we've done

29:48.430 --> 29:51.660
is in fact I'm therebalances tory a.

29:52.520 --> 29:55.750
He what I was moving from a whitehouse to a state department

29:55.860 --> 29:57.900
and I set of present obama'ssuper coming over.

29:58.890 --> 30:01.980
And I asked him what what wouldyou like to focus up was um and

30:01.980 --> 30:04.980
the first thing he said was eight.And then when I got to state.

30:05.480 --> 30:07.100
I asked the same questionsurgery carry.

30:07.670 --> 30:11.060
And I play I got the same answer.He is very hello. It's always

30:11.210 --> 30:16.130
been the On any use a recognitionof the fact that I'm for both

30:16.130 --> 30:19.720
of the president was secretary thisreally use on the top over

30:19.720 --> 30:23.750
party list because I'm wecan see. So very clearly.

30:25.190 --> 30:28.310
Future a taking shape in the asia-pacificamerica's future.

30:28.420 --> 30:31.940
Taking shake the asia-pacific withall of the possibility actually

30:31.940 --> 30:33.760
talk about and TV pee.

30:34.640 --> 30:35.950
Um one we get there.

30:36.920 --> 30:40.450
It has obvious economic benefitswhich I want rehearsed but I'm

30:40.550 --> 30:43.750
from my vantage point. It's state.It's the strategic benefits

30:43.750 --> 30:44.930
they're equally important.

30:45.600 --> 30:48.030
It's the strongest possiblemasham too.

30:48.680 --> 30:52.200
Other countries in the region. Thatwere there for the long haul

30:52.550 --> 30:56.560
that are are invasion of onceit's would be dictated by.

30:57.320 --> 31:01.610
Temple interests and I simply by as importantas they are scary relationships.

31:02.180 --> 31:06.350
And it has the tremendous potentialwith 40% of the VP covered

31:06.820 --> 31:10.660
to be a magnet to move other countriesin the direction of the

31:10.690 --> 31:12.440
the highest up possible standards.

31:13.020 --> 31:14.290
And that's usually important to.

31:15.410 --> 31:17.000
But of course it's not about.

31:17.520 --> 31:22.270
Um the rebalances or TV fee for thatmatter is not about Isolating

31:22.270 --> 31:25.280
china for keeping it down orcontain into the country.

31:25.840 --> 31:28.020
A our hope is that a some point.

31:28.830 --> 31:30.780
China may will be part of to compete.

31:31.400 --> 31:32.690
But there's all you know.

31:33.500 --> 31:37.540
Relationship is I'm incredibly complexthat has very important

31:37.720 --> 31:40.770
and growing Allen's cooperationand we've seen that just over

31:40.770 --> 31:41.510
the last year.

31:42.290 --> 31:43.800
Um I mention a couple of these.

31:45.110 --> 31:47.720
The fact that the United Statesand china could come together

31:47.720 --> 31:48.610
on climate change.

31:49.210 --> 31:52.660
Um is a very powerful message tothe rest of the world and has

31:52.660 --> 31:55.090
the potential to bring other countriesalong was we had the parts.

31:55.750 --> 31:57.310
The work that we didtogether on Angola.

31:57.890 --> 32:00.550
Also sends a very strong messageabout what's possible when a

32:00.550 --> 32:03.260
United States and china cooperateand interestingly is you know

32:03.260 --> 32:04.290
from all of your work on this.

32:04.900 --> 32:06.520
Even the military in what curve relationship.

32:07.040 --> 32:10.830
Has improved over the last fewyears a better for them.

32:10.860 --> 32:15.360
Well. I think they've done is achallenge but it did he really

32:15.360 --> 32:17.570
is I'm making strides but.

32:18.660 --> 32:19.500
Assess the good news.

32:20.430 --> 32:23.830
And actually there are many othersof corporation Afghanistan

32:23.830 --> 32:27.030
we've been trained to poet's togetherum we're looking at work

32:27.030 --> 32:30.200
we've been working together diplomaticallyin south Sudan um

32:30.400 --> 32:31.780
in many other places around the world.

32:32.430 --> 32:33.580
Uh but is she said.

32:34.250 --> 32:38.060
A China is also takingactions that I'm.

32:38.680 --> 32:42.630
Are. A risk to um the stability.

32:43.160 --> 32:46.300
That that is so necessary for the regionto continue to move forward.

32:47.020 --> 32:49.940
Pot and the risk increasing uh increasingtension in south china

32:49.940 --> 32:50.730
sea is.

32:51.460 --> 32:54.420
Probably the most um salientexample that.

32:55.850 --> 32:57.920
We've been very clear ofincluding this week.

32:58.550 --> 33:01.600
With a chinese friends and their yourdisputed any counted dial up.

33:03.620 --> 33:04.270
We said.

33:04.800 --> 33:07.960
That. We don't have asI mentioned earlier.

33:09.450 --> 33:12.820
A position on any of the meritsof these different claims but

33:13.270 --> 33:14.470
how the planes are pursued.

33:15.070 --> 33:18.640
Makes a big difference and anyactions that threaten to.

33:19.200 --> 33:21.510
Undermine freedom of navigationor prefer flight.

33:22.680 --> 33:24.950
Or the risk to piecesto believe a region.

33:25.640 --> 33:28.050
For the contra beam basic norms last.

33:28.680 --> 33:29.300
That's a problem.

33:30.310 --> 33:32.490
Um. And we had made.

33:33.260 --> 33:35.630
Back and forth conversationwith the chinese.

33:36.200 --> 33:40.300
Uh about those two things in oneis there's a clear afford for

33:40.300 --> 33:41.070
the south china sea.

33:42.050 --> 33:44.390
And that is for all the quite that'sbecause is not just time.

33:45.260 --> 33:48.340
I it's certainly true that othercountries including vietnam

33:48.750 --> 33:52.640
a including Malaysian a includingthe philippines are negation

33:52.640 --> 33:54.050
their own recollection products.

33:54.740 --> 33:58.220
Of course the the size and scalewhat china's doing force what

33:58.220 --> 33:59.130
these other countries are due.

33:59.840 --> 34:02.690
But what we've suggested to Wall.

34:03.470 --> 34:06.880
Is a free use fond recollection activities.

34:08.090 --> 34:10.530
The reformation it's all the construction.

34:11.280 --> 34:14.180
Uh the goes on a on theseso paul Allen's.

34:14.800 --> 34:18.600
And any villagers a should weather forthe fences were other purposes.

34:19.590 --> 34:20.370
If you do that.

34:21.090 --> 34:24.190
You create the time and space actuallyresolve the differences

34:24.190 --> 34:24.820
that exist.

34:25.490 --> 34:28.700
Peaceful means whether it's arbitrationwhether it's education

34:28.700 --> 34:30.150
whether it's our. Bilateral.

34:32.060 --> 34:37.350
The Chinese say that their claimsare clearer and undisputed

34:37.350 --> 34:40.800
they're not in claims there. He'sfacts and we said great to

34:40.800 --> 34:43.600
demonstrate the We'll backto a hundred percent.

34:44.330 --> 34:46.340
But you can't expect other countries.

34:46.890 --> 34:49.970
To engage in some kind of an was diplomaticprocess that goes nowhere.

34:50.630 --> 34:54.080
Where you create what artifactsfacts on the city.

34:54.920 --> 34:58.520
So. We'll see if they and the otherclaimants responded that.

34:59.240 --> 35:05.460
Meanwhile. We will continue todo everything that we are able

35:05.460 --> 35:08.900
and allow them to honor internationallaw including flier proper

35:08.900 --> 35:11.130
planes to international skies.

35:11.960 --> 35:13.750
And driver boats in internationalwaters.

35:14.360 --> 35:15.180
That collection.

35:15.710 --> 35:16.600
I'm going to.

35:17.260 --> 35:21.540
So moving to to be more the middleeast me we all said earlier

35:21.540 --> 35:24.500
discussion of dealing with I so.

35:25.160 --> 35:27.860
Um and stirred memories for broccoli.

35:28.770 --> 35:33.570
I'm a couple of question's cameout the first is um we clearly

35:33.570 --> 35:39.650
have initial focus on to beatingback isis in your rock and and

35:39.650 --> 35:42.780
I think the administration's laidout the strategy. There's a

35:42.780 --> 35:45.960
debate about that should be it themore urgent to leave research

35:45.960 --> 35:48.300
that more and so forth butthere is a strategy.

35:48.830 --> 35:51.000
I think I'm a seriousside of the border.

35:51.620 --> 35:54.630
It's harder from the outside lookingin to really understand

35:54.630 --> 35:59.100
what is the fear in the case was.You know I'm you what is the

35:59.100 --> 36:01.810
strategy on the Syrianside of the Puerto.

36:02.690 --> 36:05.330
Lucy's usually just say we'reabout iraq person. I'm sure.

36:06.260 --> 36:09.210
Um and this is maybe a good exampleof what I was talking about

36:09.210 --> 36:13.260
a little earlier about how it's soeasy to be capture um my headlined

36:13.260 --> 36:15.250
by snapchat and not a movie producer.

36:16.070 --> 36:19.970
We had the Real setback humanbody few weeks ago.

36:20.540 --> 36:21.450
And of our products.

36:22.090 --> 36:23.360
And that became.

36:23.960 --> 36:26.790
A almost a a metaphor for failure.

36:27.990 --> 36:31.650
It was a setback in the stimulusand the fact we are all mention

36:31.650 --> 36:32.060
of a minute.

36:33.090 --> 36:35.030
But if you look at the moving picture.

36:35.810 --> 36:38.610
Over the last year sincewe won this coalition.

36:39.680 --> 36:45.090
The has lost 35% of the territorythat it held or controlled.

36:45.650 --> 36:47.280
At the time the coalition was formed.

36:48.240 --> 36:50.240
We have taken out thousands.

36:50.850 --> 36:51.890
Of dash fighters.

36:52.420 --> 36:54.470
And huge amounts to this but area.

36:55.940 --> 36:57.480
And in many parts of iraq.

36:58.400 --> 36:58.900
The out.

36:59.460 --> 37:02.690
In all other places. I'mkind of coarsening or.

37:03.440 --> 37:04.130
Icarus three.

37:04.830 --> 37:06.040
Uh the efforts are going.

37:06.680 --> 37:07.310
Quite well.

37:08.210 --> 37:11.880
Anbar has always been a particularpop and the problem there

37:11.970 --> 37:12.950
is you know so well.

37:13.460 --> 37:18.300
Is that you have an Iraqi national armyand security force comprised formerly.

37:19.020 --> 37:19.820
She a fighters.

37:20.450 --> 37:21.580
In a suni area.

37:22.240 --> 37:25.190
An army that felt alien and didn'tknow why was fighting there

37:25.450 --> 37:29.570
and a populous that didn't particularlya walk to look except

37:29.570 --> 37:30.880
at the end of the same time.

37:31.790 --> 37:35.590
Popular mobilisation forces comprisebegan predominantly of shia

37:35.590 --> 37:36.860
coming in to sunni areas.

37:37.460 --> 37:40.840
Uh and sometimes liberating cows.But then making some have it

37:41.300 --> 37:41.770
after work.

37:43.060 --> 37:46.850
So the challenge and M four he'sbeen to mobilize cities into

37:46.850 --> 37:47.180
the fight.

37:47.800 --> 37:51.150
And the plan that prime ministerbody announced in Paris a couple

37:51.150 --> 37:52.450
of weeks go to do just that.

37:53.180 --> 37:57.000
Is exactly the direction. We shouldgo up and we've made it very

37:57.000 --> 37:57.980
clear that we support that.

37:59.160 --> 38:02.000
We also see if you look at anbaryou look at a map that.

38:02.870 --> 38:03.780
Much of it is rad.

38:04.670 --> 38:05.610
Red being gosh.

38:06.800 --> 38:07.910
But there's one area is great.

38:08.650 --> 38:11.940
And that's the area immediatelyaround Allah sock where we've

38:11.940 --> 38:16.390
had a presence to help train andintegrate both sunni fighters

38:16.420 --> 38:19.930
and I'm an Iraqi forces and wenow have another presents for

38:19.930 --> 38:21.850
the president announceda week ago to copped.

38:22.700 --> 38:27.260
We're in east of embark with Aliceout of the west and I think

38:27.260 --> 38:30.170
there's really the potential therebetween a bodies plan and

38:30.170 --> 38:30.960
the work that we're doing.

38:31.530 --> 38:34.280
Up to make a difference and to startto turn anbar in the same

38:34.280 --> 38:36.760
direction that much of the restof the practice the so.

38:37.670 --> 38:39.720
Um all that though said.

38:40.850 --> 38:43.900
The of the political accommodationsthat I referenced earlier.

38:44.690 --> 38:45.450
Don't move forward.

38:46.150 --> 38:49.660
The pole put a real ceiling umwas actually possible interact

38:49.660 --> 38:51.740
amassed vital and workingand everyday serious.

38:53.400 --> 38:54.380
I guess is a two things.

38:55.710 --> 38:57.210
One is that I'm.

38:57.920 --> 39:01.180
As long as assad is there.He will be a magnet.

39:01.800 --> 39:04.050
For about half for extra mess.

39:04.670 --> 39:06.110
The best recruiting toolthat they have.

39:06.900 --> 39:07.940
And that's one of.

39:08.460 --> 39:13.370
Many reasons why I'm assad theseto be transition about and so

39:13.430 --> 39:14.680
one of the things that were doing.

39:15.270 --> 39:16.840
Is trying to enterprise the diplomacy.

39:17.660 --> 39:18.720
Around that proposition.

39:19.550 --> 39:20.570
And things a change.

39:21.450 --> 39:22.300
Which gives me.

39:22.980 --> 39:25.690
I hope is too strong a word but Ithink there's greater possibility

39:25.690 --> 39:28.540
for that the policy to startto issued results um.

39:29.270 --> 39:32.320
If you're looking out or from theperspective of patrons of a

39:32.350 --> 39:34.250
of a solid who make a big difference.

39:34.840 --> 39:36.570
Including and maybestarted russia.

39:37.440 --> 39:39.790
Um. The dynamics on the ground.

39:40.680 --> 39:45.100
Off with I sold were diet pot takingmore and more a territory

39:45.170 --> 39:46.300
in certain parts of syria.

39:47.220 --> 39:48.460
Back poses a growing threat.

39:49.070 --> 39:50.310
A to Russia's interests.

39:51.230 --> 39:55.670
There's also the possibility of whathas been turn catastrophic success.

39:55.740 --> 39:58.720
That is a saw goes tomorrow andwe're not prepared for it.

39:59.610 --> 40:00.920
And so there's a real incentive.

40:01.870 --> 40:04.270
Including on the part of russiaand I would argue even around.

40:05.010 --> 40:06.210
To have a manage transition.

40:06.770 --> 40:10.190
That at least negates the real danger.

40:10.740 --> 40:13.840
Of the post assad vacuum that isstill bystanders forces that

40:13.840 --> 40:15.960
are not me interest obviously theUnited States for partners

40:15.960 --> 40:17.660
in the region. But alsonot of russian or.

40:18.170 --> 40:20.670
So look to mobile was thebeauty of the policy.

40:21.830 --> 40:23.060
Second on the ground.

40:23.950 --> 40:28.270
Other things are happening. It's notjust gosh uh rice in the north.

40:29.330 --> 40:32.440
The Syrian kurdish forcesin recent weeks.

40:32.960 --> 40:34.620
Have shown dramatic gains.

40:35.290 --> 40:37.090
Supported by our air power.

40:37.730 --> 40:38.770
And there is now.

40:39.600 --> 40:42.310
A long stretch of theborder between syria.

40:43.010 --> 40:43.790
And turkey.

40:44.440 --> 40:46.170
That I'm was actually control.

40:47.000 --> 40:49.910
By those forces in alliance with.

40:50.620 --> 40:51.420
Other Syrians.

40:52.160 --> 40:54.830
And that's critical becauseif you can get that peace.

40:55.910 --> 40:56.830
All across the border.

40:58.110 --> 41:03.310
You can office supply lots betweendash and supplies and personnel

41:03.310 --> 41:03.910
coming in.

41:04.550 --> 41:05.460
Primarily from turkey.

41:06.100 --> 41:07.000
And going to rocket.

41:08.230 --> 41:08.800
Their capital.

41:09.810 --> 41:13.450
You said lowly make it more difficultfor things to get a door rack.

41:14.270 --> 41:15.080
From outside.

41:15.770 --> 41:18.300
And that begins to have areal impact in this out.

41:19.520 --> 41:24.200
He. Into and free Syrian forcesare actually doing quite.

41:24.200 --> 41:28.540
Well uh in areas south of Damascusbut the complication there

41:28.540 --> 41:31.520
is that they're often do we soldthe lines with use rubber are

41:31.520 --> 41:35.210
all tom and other groups a that wouldthat we can about so that's

41:35.210 --> 41:35.720
a challenge.

41:36.830 --> 41:38.780
We vinnie gazes. You knowin this program.

41:39.380 --> 41:43.300
To build up modern syria a oppositionand we have to train and

41:43.300 --> 41:44.700
equip program that is just starting.

41:45.660 --> 41:47.420
To I'm really get off the ground.

41:48.290 --> 41:48.990
It's fall.

41:49.640 --> 41:52.660
It's low it takes time. It'snot a silver bullet what.

41:54.090 --> 41:56.620
If it begins to show some success.

41:57.230 --> 41:59.030
You can beloved sell because.

41:59.780 --> 42:02.300
As recruits are are lookingat their possibilities.

42:03.140 --> 42:05.240
And they see something that's workingwhere they're getting effective

42:05.240 --> 42:08.060
training are getting the right armsto getting the right direction.

42:08.920 --> 42:11.610
They may see that as a more effectivevehicle and some of the

42:11.610 --> 42:14.400
other groups that have thema in recent years.

42:15.050 --> 42:18.050
The the same time the authenticreporter with the working with

42:18.050 --> 42:19.710
the opposition embrace ways.

42:20.420 --> 42:21.070
For years now.

42:21.860 --> 42:25.930
And we built up some greater knowledgeor stronger relationships

42:26.100 --> 42:27.340
an ability to identify.

42:28.070 --> 42:30.830
Who we can work with effectivelyand who we can't and I think

42:30.860 --> 42:31.460
there too.

42:32.030 --> 42:34.660
We can start to show um some results.

42:35.540 --> 42:36.350
But the end of the day.

42:37.830 --> 42:39.480
The critical thing is.

42:40.130 --> 42:41.370
To use post.

42:42.020 --> 42:43.480
The changing dynamics on the ground.

42:44.390 --> 42:45.750
And an energized diplomacy.

42:46.340 --> 42:48.070
To move toward a realtransition.

42:48.810 --> 42:53.080
That. Make a some time but that Mosesshot out keys the institutions

42:53.080 --> 42:53.870
of the state together.

42:54.880 --> 42:59.380
Demonstrates to russia and evena sunset's to iran that many

42:59.380 --> 43:01.900
of their core interests can be preservedpreserved in the post

43:01.900 --> 43:02.610
to san syria.

43:03.420 --> 43:04.470
And then allows.

43:05.110 --> 43:09.560
Everyone to focus on the commonthreat witches extremism so.

43:11.030 --> 43:11.790
This is an easy.

43:12.360 --> 43:16.980
Um picture not simple and It willtake some time to do but I

43:16.980 --> 43:19.970
actually think there's a greaterdynamic now there's been a time

43:19.970 --> 43:21.860
last two years to move withina more positive.

43:23.480 --> 43:26.120
The mass from a question that we'regonna open it up to all of

43:26.210 --> 43:28.690
is so please be the thinking of here.

43:29.270 --> 43:33.460
A questions uh somethingas and oddly acer.

43:34.210 --> 43:39.450
Not a essential topic today. It wasinto the really in your speech

43:39.450 --> 43:43.680
either and yet it's a very importantis the and in Afghanistan um.

43:44.200 --> 43:49.460
Um and I think there are many shoeripley is that in the wake

43:49.460 --> 43:54.420
of um. He Afghan election'sand the formation of this.

43:54.920 --> 43:59.920
I'm new government that took some timeto form um that the president

43:59.920 --> 44:06.360
was willing to be a bit flexibleon me plans for the trick I

44:06.360 --> 44:10.940
down and timelines and so forthto do of um the new government

44:10.940 --> 44:11.690
and more cheese.

44:12.300 --> 44:17.300
A little more of a chance to guaranteeto supports the 80 Afghan

44:17.300 --> 44:20.520
national security forces that arefor much engaged in the fight.

44:21.370 --> 44:22.140
And so forth.

44:22.730 --> 44:30.640
Um that as the new year. I'm 26 teenthe the racial sort of deadline

44:30.640 --> 44:34.420
or are timeline for gone downis still hanging out here.

44:35.150 --> 44:39.810
Um and I wondered it in the wake ofkind of what's happened in iraq.

44:40.320 --> 44:41.640
Um as we look.

44:42.210 --> 44:46.180
And you know if we take a forwardlooking perspective in.

44:46.760 --> 44:52.140
Um. The end of the Afghan pakistanreach intellect that what

44:52.170 --> 44:55.290
that the threat says they are arein what were born in me to

44:55.290 --> 44:57.390
protect dairy interests and future.

44:57.980 --> 45:02.330
Is there in openness and your catchtend to think more about

45:02.790 --> 45:06.570
what should are far should be inAfghanistan in the region.

45:07.010 --> 45:13.920
I'm looking forward 26teen beyondor you know it is me is that

45:13.990 --> 45:17.840
is there. It's are timeline to gettizz Gerald. Absolutely set

45:17.840 --> 45:22.300
in stone um without without beinginformed by what's neat and

45:22.300 --> 45:23.280
sit 20 sixteen.

45:23.790 --> 45:26.830
What is it. I said what I know youcan't make any announcements

45:26.860 --> 45:29.460
that the Underestimated the thinking.

45:30.300 --> 45:31.600
This is a two things first.

45:32.290 --> 45:34.500
In terms of the transition.So that an anti government.

45:35.090 --> 45:38.750
As I mentioned that would not havehappened without us and it

45:38.750 --> 45:41.890
would not have happened without theextraordinary personal engagement

45:41.920 --> 45:43.460
of an sector state.

45:44.610 --> 45:48.040
And the team that to the supports thateffort that was a great example.

45:48.590 --> 45:49.650
Uh from our leadership.

45:50.780 --> 45:51.880
With regard to.

45:52.520 --> 45:55.270
Where we are him in 27teenand the time.

45:57.500 --> 46:02.110
First. We're going to remaincommitted a to the country.

46:02.630 --> 46:05.170
No matter what can onthe security side.

46:06.140 --> 46:07.180
We're going to have to have.

46:07.990 --> 46:09.670
In places we plan to do now.

46:10.460 --> 46:14.450
Of the ability to continue to prosecutecounterterrorism missions.

46:15.180 --> 46:17.680
Prawns security and that ofour partners the Afghans.

46:18.220 --> 46:21.960
And also the capacity to continue tosupport a train Afghan security

46:21.960 --> 46:22.660
forces but.

46:23.690 --> 46:27.360
Uh the presence been very clearthat even as we state around

46:27.360 --> 46:29.350
10000 forces to this year.

46:29.900 --> 46:33.620
By the end of 26teen we wanna getdown to wait a couple center.

46:34.400 --> 46:38.080
And the sea focus presence andwhatever goes along with that

46:38.130 --> 46:39.670
insurers of the security record.

46:40.570 --> 46:43.540
And the rationale from ourperspective is this.

46:44.380 --> 46:48.030
Um. We cannot and we should not.

46:49.070 --> 46:51.460
The the get the the guarantorof Afghan security.

46:52.040 --> 46:56.690
Uh. Improve the show meat andthe Afghans deserve to know.

46:57.400 --> 46:58.530
What's expected of them.

46:59.090 --> 46:59.980
And what's expected.

47:00.950 --> 47:03.200
In the has an ability to.

47:03.750 --> 47:05.700
Hopefully galvanising entered us.

47:06.270 --> 47:06.860
Their own commit.

47:07.700 --> 47:10.340
Uh to look out for their own securityand take the steps necessary

47:10.340 --> 47:13.450
with our strong support and thatof our partners up to get there.

47:14.370 --> 47:18.430
So that's the that's the rationout um. That's the thinking I

47:18.430 --> 47:19.680
think you see already that.

47:20.390 --> 47:23.730
Within those parameters as you saidthe president has a adjusted.

47:24.290 --> 47:27.420
Are given gritted you're given flexibilityincluding to the military

47:27.420 --> 47:31.490
to look at glide past and to upto change from a as necessary.

47:32.000 --> 47:34.630
But At the end of the day.

47:35.960 --> 47:39.290
In place after place includingAfghanistan ultimately.

47:40.370 --> 47:42.280
People have to be willingto stand and fight.

47:42.800 --> 47:44.500
For their own countrieswith our support.

47:45.150 --> 47:46.130
With our systems.

47:46.970 --> 47:49.670
With our best advice but they need.

47:50.300 --> 47:55.050
To take the lead to take the responsibilityand being clear about.

47:55.890 --> 47:59.380
When they're expected to do thatis the best wake up to get them

47:59.380 --> 48:02.740
to stand up and do this the Youjust to follow up on this.

48:02.770 --> 48:05.920
I think the the thing that Ihave trouble squaring is.

48:06.490 --> 48:10.140
The objective said continue to supportthe nsa from and continued

48:10.140 --> 48:14.010
development with a absolutely. Nolee clearly having responsibility

48:14.010 --> 48:15.170
for the country's security.

48:15.680 --> 48:20.940
And continuing to conduct. The facttheir joint counter terrorism

48:20.970 --> 48:24.360
operations that protect our interestsis was and it's not clear

48:24.360 --> 48:28.490
to me that you can do those thingswith a kabul centric force

48:28.520 --> 48:32.020
for kabul only force and I thinkthat's the depression and people

48:32.020 --> 48:35.080
that have that that that is a forquestion and let's see how

48:35.110 --> 48:39.020
about how things evolve as you saidabout you know you know enhances.

48:39.210 --> 48:43.110
Okay so we're gonna do it to be audience.I'm sear with the paid

48:43.220 --> 48:45.660
holding up the piece of paperthat was in a very effective.

48:46.520 --> 48:47.240
The tactic.

48:48.680 --> 48:52.500
Do I might pay them all he saiddata marshall him for a no show

48:52.500 --> 48:55.590
you wanna see you thank you forthat the parade which speech.

48:56.240 --> 49:00.080
Uh before you came all solvent insolventof create gone. A couple

49:00.080 --> 49:01.180
of things um.

49:02.010 --> 49:04.730
And that's your cheshire onthe same point about fee.

49:05.720 --> 49:09.260
Sort of guinea to focus on commonalitieswith some of these are

49:09.260 --> 49:12.750
version for rising hours of strokeabout trying to users of a

49:12.750 --> 49:14.430
multi as city de.

49:14.990 --> 49:20.390
Um you mentioned and assorted otherspeakers um the climate change.

49:20.500 --> 49:22.500
It bowl a Afghanistan.

49:23.050 --> 49:26.060
These are areas where it'sclear that there is no.

49:26.780 --> 49:30.610
There's no conflict is no need forthem to accommodate our interests.

49:30.640 --> 49:35.020
We have clearly common interests.They have at least at this

49:35.020 --> 49:38.370
large if not a larger presencein africa from so Apple there

49:38.370 --> 49:41.380
people are dying because of terriblecoal problems in china.

49:41.380 --> 49:45.170
It's clear Afghanistan's bordersand not OS old VC's.

49:45.680 --> 49:49.970
Question I guess for ah sues forme to truly believe that there

49:50.020 --> 49:54.340
is a future in looking at an approachwith trying out looking

49:54.380 --> 49:58.480
at where the commonalities are interestedto get their thoughts

49:58.530 --> 50:00.800
about where we can start making headway.

50:01.310 --> 50:05.410
Where there is indeed for them to accommodatessome of our principal

50:05.410 --> 50:10.700
concerns such a as it. Obviously cyberand that most of the depicts.

50:10.700 --> 50:14.610
Okay for you but their number brotherthings involving trade

50:14.610 --> 50:20.550
practices to say nothing of apparentlead to complete retraction

50:20.960 --> 50:25.720
of any concept of of the westernstyle government that are making

50:25.720 --> 50:28.610
we don't care much about that anymorebut at the interested to

50:28.610 --> 50:31.310
see the group focused in onthose series works and not.

50:31.960 --> 50:34.760
Completely in their interest to doit with the nicci's take some

50:34.760 --> 50:36.640
steps to accommodate our views her.

50:37.670 --> 50:38.970
You know I thinkthat there are.

50:41.000 --> 50:44.500
Clear. Trans and lessonsthat suggest that.

50:45.700 --> 50:46.780
In various ways.

50:47.480 --> 50:51.540
Uh it may be welcome to the conclusionof the the chinese that

50:51.540 --> 50:54.060
they need to open directionsthat are more.

50:55.040 --> 50:57.780
Collar with it that the direction.We've taken and let me give

50:57.780 --> 51:00.010
you two examples um.

51:00.870 --> 51:05.240
First. One of the things this wasso striking about interactions

51:05.240 --> 51:08.610
in the south china seas andy'schassis for for that matter.

51:09.440 --> 51:11.700
Pot has been the effect it'sout on their neighbors.

51:12.500 --> 51:14.460
And We now have.

51:15.190 --> 51:17.060
We're countries in southeast asia.

51:17.720 --> 51:19.170
Looking to the United States.

51:20.150 --> 51:23.000
And striking strongerrelationship with us.

51:23.800 --> 51:24.670
Then we're we're hat.

51:25.470 --> 51:27.450
Up less because of what we've done.

51:28.090 --> 51:32.150
Than because of what china's gotwill have me general secretary.

51:32.730 --> 51:35.610
Of the communist party vietnamcoming to the United States to

51:35.610 --> 51:39.840
visit president obama a and justup about 10 days time the first

51:39.840 --> 51:43.010
visit by general secretary in historyof the twentieth anniversary

51:43.010 --> 51:46.730
the restoration relations relationshipwith vietnam is move to.

51:47.340 --> 51:49.330
A very different place inpart of that has been.

51:49.850 --> 51:51.890
I'm actually enters diesbut china's actions.

51:53.240 --> 51:55.000
I solution conversations some.

51:55.610 --> 51:58.410
Blasted I was in beijing and thenagain at the beacon Street

51:58.410 --> 52:00.110
in a got talent withchina about that.

52:00.950 --> 52:03.600
And I see just a to them the Wall.

52:04.460 --> 52:06.210
Our countries were of coursevery different.

52:07.270 --> 52:10.020
Different systems differ historiesdifferent stages of development.

52:10.770 --> 52:13.650
That. In some ways withoutover simplifying it.

52:14.610 --> 52:18.340
China today is a little bit. We'reUnited States was at the end

52:18.340 --> 52:21.790
of world war two than we werethe emerging global power.

52:22.390 --> 52:25.190
And our leaders have to decidehow to use that out.

52:25.940 --> 52:27.630
And of course the decisionsthat they made.

52:28.280 --> 52:32.870
Were to write the rules creatinginstitutions develop a norms.

52:33.400 --> 52:36.770
That. On one level actually constrainedour power because we

52:36.770 --> 52:40.300
gave other countries a voice andof oh an inability to shape

52:40.300 --> 52:41.280
the direction of the world.

52:41.990 --> 52:43.460
Engine of course the real effect.

52:44.200 --> 52:46.880
Was to diss incentivise other countries.

52:47.410 --> 52:50.300
From gathering together against usbecause they feared our power.

52:50.990 --> 52:52.700
And as a result we actually.

52:53.430 --> 52:57.360
Magnified and extended our influenceand I suggested to our chinese

52:57.360 --> 52:59.520
friends that that there mightbe something interesting.

53:00.160 --> 53:00.770
In that was.

53:01.400 --> 53:01.960
We'll see.

53:02.540 --> 53:07.790
Second. But I do think that they're goingto have to increasingly absorb.

53:08.270 --> 53:10.450
The fact. That their actions.

53:11.240 --> 53:14.580
Have consequences and some of themare not the intended consequences

53:14.940 --> 53:18.490
in terms of how other nationsrespond second.

53:20.380 --> 53:22.710
When you think about thewealth of the nation.

53:23.570 --> 53:24.540
And what defines it.

53:26.450 --> 53:29.530
If we talked about that 50 yearsago or a hundred years ago you

53:29.530 --> 53:33.250
probably talk about how large thecountry's size of its land

53:33.330 --> 53:35.230
sizes population. The strain.

53:35.770 --> 53:38.910
In size and this military the abundanceof natural resources.

53:39.430 --> 53:41.720
And of course all those thingsstill matter and as it happens

53:42.110 --> 53:45.920
United States and china are both verywealthy by those voters but.

53:46.950 --> 53:47.530
We know.

53:48.110 --> 53:49.260
Then in this century.

53:49.920 --> 53:52.960
The true well for the nation isdefined by its human resources

53:52.990 --> 53:53.820
and is special in.

53:54.360 --> 53:56.800
They're ability to innovate. To create.

53:57.360 --> 54:01.340
The thing to a strange ideasare due to criticize.

54:02.560 --> 54:05.150
The nation's that maximize the potential.

54:06.120 --> 54:08.610
Are the nation's that will trulysucceed in the 20 per century

54:09.080 --> 54:09.840
and back to.

54:10.390 --> 54:13.480
Has implications for china.We haven't seen them yet.

54:14.030 --> 54:14.890
I'm convinced.

54:15.540 --> 54:19.260
That uh we well so I thinkthey're larger dynamics.

54:19.800 --> 54:20.400
At play.

54:20.930 --> 54:23.760
That suggests to me that overthe next 10 or 15 years.

54:24.370 --> 54:28.620
Um. There will be affects someaway china decides to conduct

54:28.620 --> 54:29.440
itself my world.

54:30.040 --> 54:31.640
That move it actually closer.

54:32.420 --> 54:34.050
Up to what's at the same time.

54:35.090 --> 54:35.780
Here are now.

54:37.010 --> 54:38.790
Is they take actions that are inconsistent.

54:39.340 --> 54:40.100
With our interests.

54:41.030 --> 54:44.420
We will uphold of those interests.I talk a little bit about

54:44.450 --> 54:46.930
the of the south china seasbut we also believe that.

54:47.710 --> 54:49.960
The more we can maximizeareas of cooperation.

54:50.600 --> 54:51.200
And obviously.

54:51.770 --> 54:55.200
Trade investment is is criticalbecause of the benefits that

54:55.200 --> 54:56.080
baseball to us.

54:56.770 --> 54:58.230
And that creates at least.

54:58.930 --> 55:02.020
Um. A frame around wage.

55:02.870 --> 55:06.490
Uh the relationship hope we will notdeviate because of the common

55:06.490 --> 55:10.020
interest in preserving those benefitsum but the more that we

55:10.020 --> 55:13.880
do that I think up themore it will be um.

55:14.510 --> 55:15.780
Clearly any interest in china.

55:16.670 --> 55:20.590
To make accommodations whereour interests part Cofler.

55:22.740 --> 55:26.060
A Right. Here.

55:30.980 --> 55:34.140
Right the change any pretend apartalways changing media quirk

55:34.140 --> 55:38.490
one-off TV network in china andeat your destination in your

55:38.760 --> 55:42.600
eyes speech. He said that chinaand us maybe three two maybe

55:42.600 --> 55:46.040
three relations he's getting betterand we know gender if intel

55:46.040 --> 55:50.070
will just be some us and I justwanted to please give us some

55:50.100 --> 55:53.550
the tell slacked what is a trainabout the nitty three two maybe

55:53.550 --> 55:57.070
three dress in china relations andwhat I the passable ups term

55:57.070 --> 56:01.430
coast has pharmacy are concerneddrinks that you're a I actually

56:01.430 --> 56:04.570
had the opportunity to meet with gentlefond when when he was here.

56:05.140 --> 56:07.700
Uh and we had a very good exchange.Of course more importantly

56:07.700 --> 56:11.150
he sought the sector defense and bea question where the joint chiefs.

56:12.060 --> 56:13.440
Um and I say that.

56:14.000 --> 56:14.840
We're really.

56:15.460 --> 56:19.830
Seeing three strong pillars emerge andthe military voucher relationship.

56:20.710 --> 56:27.710
First I'm Increasing and sustaineda dialogue and exchange uh

56:27.710 --> 56:33.090
we have more. A meetings back and forthincluding the one you decided.

56:33.690 --> 56:36.440
Then we'd ever hat including itsmost senior levels and that

56:36.440 --> 56:39.670
kind of regular contact and exchangesalso lower levels.

56:40.250 --> 56:43.910
I'm starts to build a little bitmore trust and confidence and

56:43.910 --> 56:46.000
that's important and we're doingmore to the waver hat.

56:46.630 --> 56:49.340
Second. Actual practical cooperation.

56:50.090 --> 56:54.780
Uh when it comes to a exercises umwhen it comes to working together

56:55.230 --> 56:57.010
a in areas like counter parsley.

56:57.540 --> 56:59.130
Or humanitarian response.

56:59.810 --> 57:01.240
Um that too.

57:02.180 --> 57:02.980
Build trust.

57:03.590 --> 57:06.110
Incompetence. And then finally.

57:06.870 --> 57:07.950
Making sure that.

57:08.990 --> 57:10.420
We have mechanisms in place.

57:11.150 --> 57:12.850
To deal with potential differences.

57:13.360 --> 57:16.360
And disputes and thereto just over last.

57:17.090 --> 57:17.920
Not or someone's.

57:18.440 --> 57:20.390
Uh we've I work together to develop.

57:21.020 --> 57:25.050
More confidence building measuresthat actually I'm address that

57:25.190 --> 57:28.940
the challenge including for exampleprocedures one our aircraft

57:29.080 --> 57:32.950
may come into close contact to theconflicts them and avoid pop

57:32.980 --> 57:35.580
any um and uh uh undesired.

57:36.290 --> 57:37.640
A conflict so.

57:38.420 --> 57:42.660
The the to those leg of the inthe stool are being builds and

57:42.660 --> 57:44.110
are getting getting stronger.

57:44.660 --> 57:47.770
And I think that at least offersthe the prospect for.

57:48.410 --> 57:52.220
Um. Both greater stability logperimeter relationship.

57:53.000 --> 57:55.420
Finding greater areas ofcooperation and then.

57:56.190 --> 58:00.470
What our forces as increasinglywith china's growing up it's

58:00.470 --> 58:04.460
maybe a military as Is totallyunderstandable in a country.

58:04.460 --> 58:05.610
That's growing economically.

58:06.730 --> 58:10.800
Um. As those forces coming to warmor contact and make sure that

58:11.040 --> 58:14.140
uh there is no there are no unintendedconsequences that.

58:15.950 --> 58:19.000
Today this is been terrific becauseI knew it would be a um and

58:19.000 --> 58:22.400
we did have we'd love to keep youfor longer but we know we you

58:22.400 --> 58:25.780
have the next eight hours of your dayto have that to start the Alice.

58:25.780 --> 58:28.660
So thank you so much for joiningus please trying.. Mm-Hm.

58:35.270 --> 58:41.170
Mm-hm. You made it.

58:43.020 --> 58:46.780
This is bad a were just comingto the conclusion that I'm far

58:46.780 --> 58:51.560
conference that it's been a weekI think they really wonderful

58:51.560 --> 58:55.660
day and I I I if nothing else.I think we have succeeded and

58:55.950 --> 58:59.260
celebrating that to date on a numberof the issues that will

58:59.260 --> 59:04.250
be most important to us nationalsecurity. I'm in the in the

59:04.250 --> 59:06.010
next the years. I had..

